In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 19, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees (53-44, 23-25 Away) were on a five-game winning run after defeating the New York Mets and sweeping the Seattle Mariners, but lost to the Chicago Cubs. The Yanks opened this series in Atlanta with a 7-3 defeat on Friday. Giancarlo Stanton led the offense with two RBI, while Ian Hamilton took the loss after allowing three runs on three hits with no strikeouts and one walk in 1.0 innings.
This season, the Yankees average 5.20 runs per game (3rd in the MLB) on a .256/.336/.454 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 3.86 ERA (15th) and 1.21 WHIP (6th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .354 batting average, 35 home runs, and 81 RBI this season.
Will Warren will take the mound for the Yankees on Saturday. The 26-year-old right-hander has a 6-5 record in 20 starts this year with a 4.63 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 95.1 innings.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves (43-53, 25-22 Home) lost four straight series but ended the first half of the season with a win over the St. Louis Cardinals. The Braves opened the second half with a 7-3 victory over the Yankees last night. Ozzie Albies led the offense with four RBI, while Spencer Strider got the win after allowing no runs on three hits with eight strikeouts and three walks across 6.0 innings of work.
This year, the Braves average 4.11 runs per game (22nd in the MLB) on a .243/.315/.390 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.87 ERA (16th) and 1.24 WHIP (12th). Matt Olson leads the Braves with a .262 batting average, 17 home runs, and 62 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Braves is Joey Wentz, who is 2-1 in zero starts this season, with a 6.32 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in 37.0 innings.
Why the Yankees will beat the Braves
- The Braves have lost each of their last five games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Yankees have won eight of their last nine Saturday night games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against the Yankees following a win.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Yankees and Braves at Truist Park.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games at Truist Park against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Yankees’ last seven road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Braves’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Yankees’ last five games at Truist Park.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 5th in the league for hits allowed this season (745).
- The Braves rank 6th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.235).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.336).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (377).
Braves vs Yankees Prediction
The Braves won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including six of the last seven. However, I am going with the Yankees in this one because of the pitching matchup. Joey Wentz, who played for the Pirates and Twins this season, will get his first start since 2023, and I am not sure if he’s going to last for more than a couple of innings. I am backing the Yankees to get to him early on and do damage, just like the Braves did last night when New York used its bullpen. Will Warren, on the other hand, posted solid numbers in June, a 2.86 ERA, and although he hasn’t started July on a high note, allowing eight runs to Toronto, he did surrender just two runs in the next two starts. Go with the Yanks.