Brewers vs Astros Prediction 5/7/25 MLB Picks Today

The Houston Astros and Milwaukee Brewers meet Wednesday in MLB action at American Family Field. Here’s a Brewers vs Astros Prediction. This article will include a Brewers vs Astros Pick.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 17-18 on the year and play the Reds, Royals, and Rangers next. The Houston Astros are batting .241 on the season, have a .311 OBP, and a .365 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros’ pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Jeremy Pena leads the Houston Astros with 36 hits and 12 RBI, while Jose Altuve and Isaac Paredes have combined for 67 hits and 28 RBI.

Framber Valdez gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 1-4 with a 4.39 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. This will be Valdez’s first career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 19-18 on the year and play the Rays, Guardians, and Twins next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .239 on the season, have a .317 OBP, and a .360 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Brice Turang leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 42 hits and 16 RBI, while Jackson Chourio and Sal Frelick have combined for 76 hits and 33 RBI.

Quinn Priester gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 1-0 with a 5.79 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. This will be Priester’s first career games against the Houston Astros.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have lost eight of their last nine games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Astros have lost the first inning in five of their last six day games at American Family Field.
• The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last nine games against AL West opponents.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Astros at American Family Field.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won each of their last five day games following a loss.
• The Brewers have lost four of their last five day games against the Astros following a win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a road loss.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs following a home win.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Brewers have lost the first inning in each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday day games as road favorites.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Jackson Chourio has hit at least one home run in three of the Brewers’ last seven day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in four of the Brewers’ last five home games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Brewers’ last seven home games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Brice Turang has scored at least one run in five of the Brewers’ last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brice Turang has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last seven home games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL opponents.
• Brice Turang ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.318) this season.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Framber Valdez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros’ last eight games as favorites.
• Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Wednesday appearances.
• Victor Caratini has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in day games.
• Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in 11 of his last 27 appearances with the Astros as road favorites.
• Yordan Alvarez has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Brewers vs Astros Prediction

The Astros are back to playing sloppy ball, as they’ve now lost five of their last six games. Valdez hasn’t been great, allowing 33 hits and 20 runs in his last 34 innings. Valdez has struggled the most on the road, where he has a 5.09 ERA and .247 allowed batting average in 23 innings. Priester has been a mess as well, allowing 25 hits and 15 runs in 23.1 innings, and he has 16 walks with 17 strikeouts. Still, the Brewers are playing the better baseball this week, and getting them in the underdog role to fade the slumping Astros has value. Bad pitching matchup, but give me the home team and the more favorable price.