In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 11th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 36-32 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 1-7 and 4-1. In their game two win, Milwaukee jumped out to an early 2-0 lead, and they added two more late insurance runs for the win. The Brewers recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Chourio, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Milwaukee started Priester, who allowed seven hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Megill picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Brewers lost two out of three against the Padres, but did win two out of three against the Reds before that. Milwaukee has lost three of its last five games, and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 297 runs with a .235 batting average and a .314 on-base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 13 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has added 11 home runs and 39 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Chad Patrick, who is 3-5 with a 2.84 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 69.2 innings pitched this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 28-38 this year after they lost game two by a score of 4-1 on Tuesday night. Atlanta cut the deficit to 2-1 in the fifth inning, but they couldn’t find any more runs in the low-scoring loss. The Braves recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Acuna, who went 3-4 with one RBI in the loss. Atlanta started Holmes, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Bummer allowed one earned run in relief.
Prior to this series, the Braves lost all three against the Giants and all three against the Diamondbacks. Atlanta has lost eight of their last nine games, and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 267 runs with a .243 batting average and a .317 on-base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 14 home runs and 39 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 11 home runs and 35 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Schwellenbach, who is 4-4 with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 80.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Brewers will beat the Braves
- The Braves have lost six of their last seven games as favorites.
- The Brewers have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Braves.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Braves’ last eight games.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Braves’ last nine games as favorites against the Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Brewers’ last seven home games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last 11 day games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last seven games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Brewers’ last six day games.
- Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three games as underdogs.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games against the Braves.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in five of the Braves’ last nine road games against NL Central opponents.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded two or more hits in six of his last seven appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Brewers.
- Ozzie Albies has scored a run in eight of his last nine appearances against the Brewers.
- Matt Olson has recorded a Double in four of the Braves’ last five day games.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Wednesday day appearances.
Brewers vs Braves Prediction
Atlanta was unable to string two wins together in their loss on Tuesday night, and now they are in danger of losing another series. The Braves are 11-24 on the road this year, while the Brewers are 20-13 at home. Milwaukee hasn’t played its best over the last two series, as its offense has been inconsistent. The Brewers are starting Patrick, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. The Braves are going with Schwellenbach, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five. The pitching matchup is pretty even in my opinion, so I think getting the Brewers at plus money against this slumping Atlanta team is great value. Take the Brewers here.