In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 13th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 37-33 this year after they won game one in this series by a score of 6-0. Milwaukee jumped out to a 1-0 lead in the second inning, and they added five more in the fifth inning to seal the win. The Brewers recorded 12 hits in the game, and they were led by Frelick and Chourio, who both had two RBIs in the win. Milwaukee started Misiorowski, who allowed zero hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Ashby picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Brewers lost two out of three against the Braves and two out of three against the Padres. Milwaukee has lost three of its last five games, and they are currently second in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 305 runs with a .236 batting average and a .313 on-base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 13 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has added 12 home runs and 41 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who is 5-4 with a 2.69 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 77.0 innings pitched this year.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 36-33 this season after they lost game one in this series on Thursday night. St. Louis fell behind early in the game, and they never got their offense going in the shutout loss. The Cardinals recorded just three hits in the game, and they were led by Contreras, who went 1-3 with one walk in the loss. St. Louis started Gray, who allowed eight hits and six earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Granillo and King finished the game in relief.
Prior to this series, the Cardinals lost all three against the Blue Jays, but did win two out of three against the Dodgers before that. St. Louis has lost five games in a row, and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The St. Louis pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 316 runs with a .256 batting average and a .326 on-base percentage this season. Wilson Contreras has led St. Louis with eight home runs, 43 RBIs, and two stolen bases, while Lars Nootbaar has added eight home runs and 28 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Erick Fedde, who is 3-5 with a 3.54 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 73.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Brewers will beat the Cardinals
- The Brewers have won each of their last six night games following a home win.
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last five games.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Cardinals.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Brewers’ last eight night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Cardinals’ last six road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last nine home games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Cardinals’ last eight games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four home games against the Cardinals.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
- Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Brewers as home favorites against the Cardinals.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Sal Frelick has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances with the Brewers as favorites against NL opponents.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in five of the Brewers’ last six games against the Cardinals.
- Sal Frelick has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 15 appearances with the Brewers as favorites against NL opponents.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Masyn Winn has hit a home run in two of the Cardinals’ last three games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- Willson Contreras has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of the Cardinals’ last 12 games.
- Willson Contreras has scored a run in five of the Cardinals’ last six night games.
- Erick Fedde has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances.
- Willson Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- Brendan Donovan has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Willson Contreras has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- Victor Scott II ranks 10th in the league in Steals (18) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (86).
- The Brewers rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.363).
- The Cardinals rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (484).
- The Cardinals rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (187).
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction
St. Louis comes into this matchup trying to snap a five-game losing streak, and they were shut out in game one of this series on Thursday night. The Cardinals are 14-19 on the road this year, while the Brewers are 21-14 at home. Milwaukee has had some issues scoring runs in recent series, but they did score six in game one last night. The Brewers are starting Peralta, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts. The Cardinals are going with Fedde, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five. I tend to lean towards St. Louis in this matchup, but their offense has been brutal in their last two games. Take the Brewers here.