In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 26th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 49-29 this year after they swept the Reds by scores of 2-1, 2-0, and 6-5. In game three, Milwaukee led 6-1 in the seventh inning, but nearly blew the lead in the narrow win. The Brewers recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bauers, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Drohan allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Patrick got the win and Kuhnel picked up the save. Prior to that series, Milwaukee lost two out of three against the Braves, but did win two out of three against the Guardians before that.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.38 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .220 opponent batting average, while they have scored 407 runs with a .254 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 14 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 11 home runs and 47 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Jacob Misiorowski, who is 8-3 with a 1.45 ERA and a 0.75 WHIP over 93.0 innings pitched this year.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 44-37 this season after they swept the Mets in four games by scores of 9-6, 10-3, 10-5, and 4-3. In game four, Chicago blew a 3-0 lead in the later innings, but scored the only run in the 10th for the win. The Cubs recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Crow-Armstrong, who went 2-5 with one RBI. Boyd allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Webb got the win and Thornton picked up the save. Prior to that series, Chicago split two games with the Blue Jays and won two out of three against the Rockies.
This season, Chicago has a 4.27 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 399 runs with a .243 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Michael Busch has led the Cubs with nine home runs and 44 RBIs, while Ian Happ has added 16 home runs and 38 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Colin Rea, who is 5-5 with a 4.99 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 79.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 10 games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have lost each of their last seven games as road underdogs against the Brewers following a win.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games at American Family Field following an extra innings win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Cubs.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against the Cubs.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Cubs.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won seven of their last eight road games.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Brewers’ last seven games.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a win.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Brewers’ last eight games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Cubs’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Brewers’ last 10 night games against NL Central opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Cubs’ last nine road games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has hit at least one home run in three of the Brewers’ last four home games against the Cubs.
- Jacob Misiorowski has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances.
- Jacob Misiorowski has recorded nine or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances.
- Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against the Cubs.
- Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (138) this season.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two road games against the Brewers.
- Colin Rea has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 14 games.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong is one of only two players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.338).
- The Brewers rank T2nd in the league for walks this season (329).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (355).
- The Cubs rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (123).
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this matchup on a four game winning streak, but they have scored two runs in two of their last three games. The Brewers are 25-15 at home this year, while the Cubs are 21-20 on the road. Chicago has also won four in a row and they have scored 33 runs during that span. The Cubs are starting Rea, who has allowed 0, 4, 7, 2, and 2 earned runs in his last five outings, while Misiorowski has allowed three earned runs in his last 36.0 innings. Take the Brewers -1.5 here, as Misiorowski has been elite this season.