In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 28th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 50-30 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 6-2 and 2-8. In game two, Milwaukee led 1-0 in the first inning, but they allowed eight of the last nine runs for the loss. The Brewers recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Chourio, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Harrison allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Patrick allowed four earned runs for the loss. Prior to this series, Milwaukee swept the Reds in three games, but lost two out of three against the Braves before that.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.42 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .220 opponent batting average, while they have scored 415 runs with a .253 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 14 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 11 home runs and 47 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Brandon Woodruff, who is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP over 36.0 innings pitched this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 45-38 this year after they won game two by a score of 8-2 on Saturday night. Chicago blew an early 2-1 lead, but they scored four runs in the sixth inning to pull away with the win. The Cubs recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Happ, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Peterson allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Webb threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to this series, Chicago swept the Mets in four games and split two games with the Blue Jays.
This season, Chicago has a 4.27 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 409 runs with a .242 batting average and a .336 on base percentage. Michael Busch has led the Cubs with nine home runs and 44 RBIs, while Ian Happ has added 17 home runs and 41 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Ryan Rolison, who is 5-1 with a 1.82 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 29.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 13 day games against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The Cubs have lost each of their last six day games against the Brewers following a win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs against the Brewers following a win.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against the Cubs.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Cubs.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games at American Family Field against NL Central opponents.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The road team has won six of the Cubs’ last seven games.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Brewers’ last nine games.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Cubs’ last nine games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the last eight games between the Cubs and Brewers at American Family Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Cubs’ last nine day games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Brewers’ last seven games against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Woodruff has recorded six or more strikeouts in 16 of his last 18 appearances with the Brewers as favorites against NL opponents.
- William Contreras has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four home games against the Cubs.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last nine home games against NL opponents.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last four road games against the Brewers.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Sunday appearances.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank T1st in the league for strikeouts this season (788).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.337).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (367).
- The Cubs rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (126).
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction
Milwaukee had their winning streak snapped on Saturday night and they have scored two runs in three of their last five games. The Brewers are 26-16 at home this year, while the Cubs are 22-21 on the road. Chicago has won five of their last six games and they have scored 8+ runs in three of their last five. The Cubs are starting Rolison, who will be an opener, while Woodruff was dominant in his first start back from injury. Take the Brewers -1.5 here.