In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 7th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 88-56 this season after they lost two out of three against the Reds by scores of 10-7, 3-5, and 8-12. In game three, Milwaukee tied the game at six in the fifth inning, but they allowed six of the last eight runs in the loss. The Brewers recorded seven hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Turang, who went 2-3 with three RBIs. Harrison allowed nine hits and four earned runs over 3.2 innings, while Senzatela picked up the loss in relief. Prior to that series, Milwaukee split four games with the Cubs and won two out of three against the Rangers.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.54 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 726 runs with a .256 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 24 home runs and 78 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 17 home runs and 85 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Robert Gasser, who is 4-5 with a 4.57 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 86.2 innings pitched this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 81-63 this year after they won two out of three against the Marlins by scores of 6-1, 6-5, and 3-10. In game three, Chicago tied the game at three in the fifth inning, but they allowed the last seven runs for the ugly loss. The Cubs recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Crow-Armstrong, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Holmes allowed six hits and eight earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Rea allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Chicago split four games with the Brewers and lost two out of three against the Reds.
This season, Chicago has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while they have scored 768 runs with a .252 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led the Cubs with 40 home runs and 96 RBIs, while Dansby Swanson has added 18 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Matthew Boyd, who is 8-3 with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 102.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 11 Monday day games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have lost each of their last eight Monday games at American Family Field.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Monday games at American Family Field.
- The Brewers have covered the run line each of their last seven Monday day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last three home games.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against the Cubs following a loss.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as road underdogs.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Cubs’ last nine games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Brewers’ last nine home games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cubs’ last eight road games against NL opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 11 of the Brewers’ last 12 games at American Family Field.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Robert Gasser has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Brewers as favorites against NL opponents.
- Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last nine games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Alex Bregman has hit at least one home run in five of the Cubs’ last six games as underdogs.
- Matthew Boyd has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against NL Central opponents.
- Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight games as underdogs.
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this matchup after losing three of their last four games, but they continue to lead the NL Central by seven games. The Brewers are 47-25 at home this year, while the Cubs are 40-32 on the road. Chicago has won three of their last four games and they have been one of the better road teams in the league. The Cubs are starting Boyd, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Gasser has allowed 2, 1, 4, 3, and 3 earned runs in his last five starts. Take the Brewers at home here.