In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 9th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 90-56 this season after they won the first two games by scores of 4-3 and 4-3. In game two, Milwaukee tied the game in the ninth inning and scored the only run in the 10th for the win. The Brewers recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Chourio, who went 4-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Misiorowski allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.1 innings, while Hall picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Milwaukee lost two out of three against the Reds and split four games with the Cubs.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.53 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .222 opponent batting average, while they have scored 734 runs with a .257 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 24 home runs and 78 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 17 home runs and 86 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Logan Henderson, who is 9-3 with a 2.48 ERA and a 0.79 WHIP over 83.1 innings pitched this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 81-65 this year after they lost game two by a score of 4-3 in extra innings. Chicago scored two runs in the ninth to lead 3-1, but they blew the save and couldn’t score in the 10th for the loss. The Cubs recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Kelly, who went 1-1 with two RBIs. Peterson allowed six hits and one earned run over 4.1 innings, while Webb blew the save and Thielbar picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Chicago won two out of three against the Marlins and split four games with the Brewers.
This season, Chicago has a 4.20 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while they have scored 774 runs with a .251 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led the Cubs with 41 home runs and 97 RBIs, while Dansby Swanson has added 18 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Kevin Gausman, who is 9-11 with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 162.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last seven games at American Family Field against teams that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have lost four of their last five road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games at American Family Field after going to extra innings.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 games against NL opponents after going to extra innings.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won nine of their last 10 Wednesday games as road underdogs.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as favorites following an extra innings win.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last 14 games as road underdogs.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 12 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Brewers’ last 12 games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Cubs’ last five road games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last seven night games at American Family Field.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Cubs’ last 10 road games against NL opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Logan Henderson has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games.
- Logan Henderson has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
- Luis Lara has recorded a hit in each of his 11 previous appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Jake Bauers ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.395) this season.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Alex Bregman has hit at least one home run in five of the Cubs’ last eight games as underdogs.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 10 games as underdogs.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (41) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1271).
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (134).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (774).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (203).
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction
Milwaukee stormed back to get the win in game two on Tuesday night and they continue to be one of the top teams in the MLB. The Brewers are 49-25 at home this year, while the Cubs are 40-34 on the road. Chicago has lost three in a row and they have scored three runs in all three. The Cubs are starting Gausman, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last five starts, while Henderson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. Take the Brewers to win here.