In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, July 5th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 44‑44 record this season and are tied for the 2nd place of the NL West. They have a 27‑19 home record and are coming off a 4‑3 home win against the Brewers. They will face the Padres and the Dodgers next.
The Diamondbacks have a .237 batting average this season, .307 OBP and .383 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Ketel Marte is the team’s best hitter with a .267 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 54 and adding a team‑high 17 home runs.
Eduardo Rodriguez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 7‑2 record, 2.21 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 54‑33 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 25‑15 road record and are coming off a 3‑4 road defeat against the Diamondbacks. They will face the Cardinals and the Pirates next.
The Brewers have a .255 batting average this season, .338 OBP and .398 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.36 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .295 batting average. Jake Bauers leads the team in RBI with 52, adding a team‑high 15 home runs.
Brandon Sproat (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 3‑4 record, 5.28 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends: July 5, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez Record this season: 7-2 ERA: 2.21
- Home Record: 5-1
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-3
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won eight of their last 10 games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have lost nine of their last 11 games as favorites against NL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as road favorites against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in six of their last eight games as road favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home day games.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 home games against NL Central opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Sproat Record this season: 3-4 ERA: 5.28
- Road Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 0-1
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Diamondbacks have lost seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have won five of their last six road games.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games following a road loss.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last three day games against the Diamondbacks.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Diamondbacks’ last six day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five day games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in nine of the Diamondbacks’ last 10 home games against NL Central opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games as road favorites against NL West opponents.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Corbin Carroll has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last two day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his 14 previous Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Corbin Carroll is one of only two players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Garrett Mitchell has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three games.
- Brandon Sproat has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Brewers as road favorites against NL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (600).
- The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (79).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.36).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (630).
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction
Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings but the Dbacks have won two of their last three meetings in Arizona.
In this Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -125 road favorites. I like the Dbacks as home dogs in this spot with the red-hot Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound, who has just three earned runs across his last four starts and has been elite at home with a 5-1 record and 1.78 ERA. He will face a Brewers lineup that has been weaker against left-handed pitching and rank just 24th against southpaws in the last 10 days. Take the Dbacks to win at home for plus money.