In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Dodgers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, October 12th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB playoff matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are up 1-0 in this series after they won game one by a score of 2-1 on Sunday night. Milwaukee trailed 1-0 early in the game, but they scored once in the fourth inning and once in the fifth to get the low scoring win. The Brewers recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Turang, who went 1-2 with one home run and one RBI. Misiorowski allowed five hits and one earned run over 4.1 innings, while Hall got the win and Megill picked up the save. Prior to this series, Milwaukee defeated the Padres in four games in the NLDS and had a bye in the wild card round.
This season, Milwaukee had a 3.51 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .221 opponent batting average, while they scored 832 runs with a .258 batting average and a .341 on base percentage. Jake Bauers led the Brewers with 26 home runs and 86 RBIs, while Brice Turang added 21 home runs and 100 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Logan Henderson, who is 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this postseason.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are down 0-1 in this series after they lost game one by a score of 2-1 last night. Los Angeles took a 1-0 lead in the second inning, but they went scoreless over the last seven innings and left nine on base in the loss. The Dodgers recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Pages, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Skubal allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Scott threw an inning in relief. Prior to this series, Los Angeles defeated the Braves in four games in the NLDS and also had a bye in the wild card round.
This season, Los Angeles had a 3.55 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and a .218 opponent batting average, while they scored 801 runs with a .257 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Andy Pages led the Dodgers with 23 home runs and 85 RBIs, while Shohei Ohtani added 30 home runs and 81 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA and a 0.71 WHIP over 7.0 innings pitched this postseason.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
- The Dodgers have lost seven of their last eight games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last eight playoff games as underdogs following a win.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine Monday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won each of their last six road playoff games following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last eight playoff games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last seven road playoff games following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home playoff games after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games at American Family Field against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last eight playoff games as underdogs against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Dodgers’ last seven playoff games as favorites against Brewers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last seven games as underdogs.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s last four appearances as a starter.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Logan Henderson has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his five previous appearances against NL West opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 13 home games against NL West opponents.
- Logan Henderson has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances.
- Jake Bauers ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.389) this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Max Muncy has hit a home run in each of the Dodgers’ last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last nine games against the Brewers.
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.53) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1422).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.258).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.218).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (1159).
Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction
Milwaukee was able to escape with the win in game one on Sunday night and they will look to protect home field again here. The Brewers were 55-26 at home this year, while the Dodgers were 49-32 on the road. Los Angeles had plenty of chances to score in game one, but could only find one hit with a runner in scoring position. Both teams have been low scoring so far in the playoffs, but I give the edge to Yamamoto and the Dodgers in this one.