In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Dodgers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, October 13th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NLCS matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are coming off of a 3-2 series win over the Cubs after they won game five by a score of 3-1 on Saturday. Milwaukee blew an early 1-0 lead, but they scored once in the fourth and once in the seventh to secure the win. The Brewers recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Turang, Contreras, and Vaughn, who all had one RBI in the win. Milwaukee started Megill, who pitched the first inning, while Misiorowski got the win and Uribe picked up the save.
Prior to that series, the Brewers had a bye in the Wild Card round, but finished the regular season by losing two out of three against the Reds and Padres. Milwaukee has won four of their last six games and they finished first in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.35 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .200 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 22 runs with a .250 batting average and a .328 on base percentage in the postseason. Jackson Chourio has led Milwaukee with one home run and six RBIs, while William Contreras has added two home runs and three RBIs in the playoffs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is TBD.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off of a 3-1 series win over the Phillies after they won game four by a score of 2-1 in extra innings. Los Angeles tied the game in the bottom of the eighth with a bases loaded walk and scored in the bottom of the 11th on an error to win the game. The Dodgers recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Betts, who went 1-4 with one RBI in the win. Los Angeles started Glasnow, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Vesia picked up the win in extras.
Prior to that series, the Dodgers swept the Reds in the Wild Card round by scores of 10-5 and 8-4. Los Angeles has won 10 of their last 11 games and they finished first in the NL West standings this year. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 3.38 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .206 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 31 runs with a .259 batting average and a .336 on base percentage this postseason. Teoscar Hernandez has led LA with three home runs and nine RBIs, while Shohei Ohtani has added two home runs and five RBIs so far in the playoffs. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Blake Snell, who is 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA and a 0.77 WHIP over 13.0 innings pitched this postseason.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last eight games as underdogs against the Dodgers.
- The Dodgers have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in 27 of their last 28 games as underdogs.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games at American Family Field against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last nine Monday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Dodgers’ last seven night playoff games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five playoff games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last five games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last four games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against NL West opponents.
- Rhys Hoskins has hit at least one home run in three of his last four playoff appearances against NL West opponents.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Mookie Betts has hit a home run in each of his three previous road appearances against the Brewers after not playing the previous day.
- Blake Snell has recorded a win in each of his last four playoff appearances.
- Blake Snell has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Freddie Freeman has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.622) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.332).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (164).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1505).
- The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (825).
Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction
Los Angeles comes into this matchup with a little more rest than Milwaukee, but they will be on the road to start this series. The Dodgers weren’t great on the road in the regular season, but the Brewers were an amazing 52-29 at home. Milwaukee had one of the best pitching staffs in the MLB this year and they really need to pitch well against this dangerous LA lineup. The Dodgers are starting Snell, who has allowed two earned runs and five hits over 13.0 innings in the playoffs. Milwaukee hasn’t announced their starter, but they could use an opener like they did in game five against the Cubs. I wish I knew Milwaukee’s pitching plans, but I am going to still take them with plus money here, as they have been elite at home.