The Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers meet Sunday in MLB action at American Family Field. Here’s a Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction. This article will include a Brewers vs. Dodgers Pick.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 32-20 on the year and play the Rockies and Phillies next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .259 on the season and have a .345 OBP, and a .429 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.14 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. Andy Pages leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 54 hits and 43 RBI, while Freddie Freeman and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 99 hits and 51 RBI.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 3-4 with a 3.32 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. This will be Yamamoto’s second career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 30-19 on the year and play the Cardinals and Astros next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting. 246 on the season, have a .334 OBP, and have a .364 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 3.28 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 56 hits and 30 RBI, while Brice Turang and Jake Bauers have combined for 94 hits and 59 RBI.
Brandon Sproat gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 1-2 with a 5.75 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. This will be Sproat’s first career game against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
- The Dodgers have lost three of their last four games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games at American Family Field against National League opponents.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won each of their last seven day games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Brewers have lost 11 of their last 13 games against the Dodgers following a loss.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five road day games.
- The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Brewers’ last seven games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Dodgers’ last five games as favorites against the Brewers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last six games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Dodgers and Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has hit a home run in five of his last 11 home appearances against the Dodgers.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances.
- Brice Turang ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.416) this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit a home run in each of the Dodgers’ last two games as favorites.
- Tommy Edman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.402) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (34).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (36).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.345).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (167).
Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction
I’m scared for Sproat and his 5.75 ERA and 1.50 WHIP against this Dodgers lineup. In 23 home innings, Sproat has a 6.26 ERA and a .299 allowed batting average. Yamamoto has been better on the road this season, as he has a 2.77 ERA and .202 allowed batting average in 26 innings. Usually I’m all for fading the Dodgers and these inflated prices but there’s a clear edge on the mound and that offense should have plenty of chances to produce. I’m rolling with the Dodgers and the RL for max betting value.