The Cleveland Guardians and Milwaukee Brewers meet Wednesday in MLB action at American Family Field. Here’s a Brewers vs Guardians Prediction. This article will include a Brewers vs Guardians Pick.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 39-34 on the year and play the Astros and White Sox next. The Cleveland Guardians are batting. 231 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and have a .369 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians’ pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 64 hits and 33 RBI, while Chase DeLauter and Brayan Rocchio have combined for 124 hits and 66 RBI.
Gavin Williams gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 9-3 with a 3.32 ERA and 99 strikeouts this season. Williams is 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 44-26 on the year and play the Braves and Reds next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting. 254 on the season, have a .339 OBP, and have a .394 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 3.41 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 76 hits and 43 RBI, while Brice Turang and Jake Bauers have combined for 124 hits and 89 RBI.
Brandon Sproat gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 1-4 with a 5.70 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. This will be Sproat’s first career game against the Cleveland Guardians.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 14 games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Guardians have lost nine of their last 10 road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games at American Family Field.
- The Guardians have lost the first inning in three of their last four games at American Family Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games at American Family Field.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won four of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last three games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in 17 of the Guardians’ last 18 games.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday night games as underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last six home games against American League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Guardians’ last five road games against National League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Guardians’ last 10 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Brewers’ last six night games against AL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two home games against AL opponents.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 13 games as home favorites against AL opponents.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Brewers.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Gavin Williams ranks 2nd in the league for Wins (9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (686).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.339).
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for hits this season (552).
- The Guardians rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.369).
Brewers vs Guardians Prediction
I understand the Brewers are the better team at home, but the value is with the Guardians and the plus money. Sproat has struggled this season with a 5.70 ERA and 1.48 WHIP through 60 innings. Williams has been far more trustworthy through 86.2 innings with a 3.32 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. The Guardians have won 10 of Williams’s last 13 starts. With the better pitcher on the bump, I’ll take the road team and the more favorable price.