In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 18th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 45-26 this season after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 2-1 and 9-4. In game two, Milwaukee nearly blew an early 5-0 lead, but they pulled away in the later innings for the win. The Brewers recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Frelick, who went 2-4 with two RBIs. Sproat allowed two hits and four earned runs over 3.2 innings, while Patrick got the win and Ashby got a hold. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Phillies, but lost two out of three against the Athletics before that.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.42 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 381 runs with a .255 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 13 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 11 home runs and 44 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Shane Drohan, who is 3-2 with a 3.59 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 42.2 innings pitched this season.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 39-35 this year after they lost game two by a score of 9-4 on Wednesday. Cleveland cut the deficit to 5-4 in the fourth inning, but couldn’t find anymore runs in the loss. The Guardians recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Schneemann, who went 1-4 with one home run and four RBIs. Williams allowed seven hits and seven earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Dion allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Cleveland won two games against the Tigers, but lost all three against the Yankees before that.
This season, Cleveland has a 3.81 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 294 runs with a .229 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with seven home runs and 34 RBIs, while Jose Ramirez (OUT) has added 10 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Parker Messick, who is 6-3 with a 2.68 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 80.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 15 games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Guardians have lost each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line each of their last six day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at American Family Field.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have lost the first inning in four of their last five games at American Family Field.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won three of their last four games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in 17 of the Guardians’ last 19 games.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Brewers’ last seven home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Guardians’ last six road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight day games against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Guardians’ last six day games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Chourio has hit at least one home run in three of the Brewers’ last four games.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 14 games as home favorites against AL opponents.
- David Hamilton ranks T10th in the league in Steals (15) this season.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Brewers.
- Parker Messick ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.68) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (699).
- The Brewers rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (65).
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for hits this season (555).
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.368).
Brewers vs Guardians Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this game on a three game winning streak and they are looking for the sweep here. The Brewers are 25-14 at home this year, while the Guardians are 20-18 on the road. Cleveland has split their last four games and they have allowed two runs or fewer in three of those four. The Guardians are starting Messick, who has allowed seven earned runs in his last 11.1 innings, while Drohan has allowed seven earned runs in his last 11.1 innings. I think Messick is the better starter, but Milwaukee is the much better offense. Take the Brewers here.