The Milwaukee Brewers are visiting the Miami Marlins on Sunday, July 6th at the loanDepot park in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Brewers vs Marlins Prediction. We will examine:
The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance
The Milwaukee Brewers recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Milwaukee Brewers
Recent betting trends in games played between the Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins game
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 40-47 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the NL East. The Marlins have a 20-26 home record and are 43-43 in over/under. They are coming off 4-2 home victory over the Brewers, and are 10-2 in their last 12 games. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Reds and the Orioles next.
The Marlins have a .254 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .391 slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.73 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 82 hits and is the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average. Kyle Stowers adds team-highs in RBI with 46 and in home runs with 16.
Edward Cabrera (R) will take the mound for the Marlins, and he has a 3-2 record, 3.41 ERA and 1.28 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 49-40 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the NL Central. They have a 22-23 road record and are 36-50 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-4 road defeat by the Marlins, and are 1-3 in their last 4 games. Over is 7-5 in their last 12 games, and are playing the Dodgers and the Nationals next.
The Brewers have a .246 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .381 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Jackson Churio leads the Brewers with 97 hits, while Christian Yelich leads the team in RBI, with 61, adding a team-high 17 home runs. Sal Frelick is the team’s best hitter with a .291 batting average.
Brandon Woodruff (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and this will be his first start since the 2023 season, where he had 2.28 ERA and 0.82 WHIP.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have won the first inning in four of their last five day games.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last seven home games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have won eight of their last nine day games following a loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games following a home win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in 12 of their last 15 day games following a loss.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight road games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last five day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Marlins’ last eight day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six Sunday games against NL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
- The Marlins rank 26th in the league for home runs this season (78).
- The Brewers rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (102).
- The Brewers rank T6th in the league for walks this season (309).
Brewers vs Marlins Prediction
The Marlins are 7-3 in their last 10 overall meetings against the Brewers, and are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings in Miami. Over is 6-3-2 in their last 11 meetings.
In this Brewers vs Marlins Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -125 road favorites. The Brewers are rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record, but both teams have similar home/away splits. Miami has been in excellent form lately, and are putting their hottest pitcher on the mound in Edward Cabrera, and I expect him to contain Milwaukee’s offense and keep the Marlins close. Woodruff has not played in two years so I don’t trust him to keep a red-hot Marlins lineup at bay. Take the Miami Marlins in the first 5 innings on the moneyline.