The Miami Marlins and Milwaukee Brewers meet Saturday in MLB action at American Family Field. Here’s a Brewers vs Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Brewers vs Marlins Pick.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 49-53 on the year and play the Cardinals, Yankees, and Astros next. The Miami Marlins are batting .253 on the season, have a .315 OBP, and a .393 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 101 hits and 26 RBI, while Kyle Stowers and Otto Lopez have combined for 179 hits and 116 RBI.
Janson Junk gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 4-2 with a 3.09 ERA and 39 strikeouts this season. This will be Junk’s first career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 61-42 on the year and play the Cubs, Nationals, and Braves next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .250 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .383 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Jackson Chourio leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 117 hits and 66 RBI while Brice Turang and Sal Frelick have combined for 204 hits and 81 RBI.
Jose Quintana gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 7-3 with a 3.49 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. Quintana is 3-1 with a 2.42 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last nine games as home favorites following a home loss.
- The Marlins have lost six of their last seven night games against the Brewers following a win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven road night games.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in each of their last three night games against NL Central opponents.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won 11 of their last 12 games as road underdogs following a win.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Brewers’ last seven games.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Marlins at American Family Field following a home loss.
- The Marlins have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against the Brewers.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one Double in each of the Brewers’ last three night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 18 games.
- Jose Quintana has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Jose Quintana has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 appearances at American Family Field.
- Jackson Chourio ranks 4th in the league in Hits (117) this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games as road underdogs.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Stowers ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.573) this season.
Brewers vs Marlins Prediction
The Brewers are going to be favored for obvious reasons, as they’re the better team on paper and Quintana has found the fountain of youth. However, the Marlins are a young, scrappy team that keeps finding ways to win and is gaining confidence. The Marlins also find themselves just five games out of a wild card spot, so this is a team that’s playing for something down the stretch. The Marlins in the underdog role has value as long as this form continues. Give me the road dog.