In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 27th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 61-43 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 1-5 and 4-7. In their game two loss, Milwaukee led 3-2 in the fourth inning, but allowed the next five runs in the game for the defeat. The Brewers recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Vaughn, Collins, Turang, and Durbin, who all had one RBI in the loss. Milwaukee started Quintana, who allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Anderson allowed two earned runs in relief.
Prior to this series, the Brewers won two out of three against the Mariners and all three against the Dodgers. Milwaukee has lost three of its last four games, and they are currently tied for first in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 494 runs with a .250 batting average and a .323 on-base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 19 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has added 17 home runs and 66 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Brandon Woodruff, who is 2-0 with a 1.65 ERA and a 0.55 WHIP over 16.1 innings pitched this year.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 50-53 this season after they won game two by a score of 7-4 on Saturday night. Miami blew a 2-1 lead in the fourth inning, but they answered with three in the fifth and two in the sixth for the win. The Marlins recorded 11 hits in the game, and they were led by Hernandez, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Miami started Junk, who allowed eight hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Phillips picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Marlins won two out of three against the Padres and two out of three against the Royals. Miami has won eight of its last ten games, and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.44 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 443 runs with a .254 batting average and a .316 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 23 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 15 home runs and 46 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 3-3 with a 3.23 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 39.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Brewers will beat the Marlins
- The Brewers have won each of their last seven day games following a loss.
- The Marlins have lost five of their last six day games against the Brewers following a road win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last four day games following a loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine Sunday games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last seven day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last 12 games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four road games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Brandon Woodruff has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 14 appearances with the Brewers as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 19 games.
- Brandon Woodruff has recorded a win in four of his five previous appearances against the Marlins.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in three of the Brewers’ last four games as favorites against the Marlins.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games as road underdogs.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 Sunday appearances with the Marlins as underdogs.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in three of the Marlins’ last four games against NL opponents.
Brewers vs Marlins Prediction
Miami comes into this game looking to complete the series sweep, and they have won four games in a row. The Marlins are 26-24 on the road this year, while the Brewers are 33-19 at home. Milwaukee was red hot prior to this series, but they have been outscored 12-5 in the two losses. The Brewers are starting Woodruff, who has allowed three earned runs and nine hits over his last 16.1 innings. The Marlins are going with Perez, who has allowed a total of three earned runs in his last 23.0 innings. I really like both of these pitchers, but I expect Milwaukee to bounce back in a big way at home. Take the Brewers -1.5 here.