In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 8th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 70-44 this season after they swept Atlanta in three games by scores of 3-1, 7-2, and 5-4. In their game three win, Milwaukee took a 5-1 lead in the fifth inning, but barely hung on to get the victory. The Brewers recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Vaughn and Perkins, who both had two RBIs in the win. Milwaukee started Quintana, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Megill picked up the save.
Prior to that series, the Brewers won all three against the Nationals and two out of three against the Cubs. Milwaukee has won nine of their last ten games and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 570 runs with a .257 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 21 home runs and 74 RBIs, while Rhys Hoskins has added 12 home runs and 42 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Brandon Woodruff, who is 3-0 with a 2.22 ERA and a 0.64 WHIP over 28.1 innings pitched this season.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 63-52 this year after they lost all three games against Cleveland by scores of 6-7, 2-3, and 1-4. In their game three loss, New York was nearly no hit, but they avoided that disaster by hitting a home run with two outs in the ninth. The Mets recorded just one hit and they were led by Soto, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. New York started Peterson, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Garrett and Hagenman threw 3.0 shutout innings in relief.
Prior to that series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Giants and all three against the Padres. New York has lost eight of their last nine games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 501 runs with a .239 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 25 home runs and 91 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 26 home runs and 64 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Kodai Senga, who is 7-3 with a 2.31 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 89.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Brewers will beat the Mets
- The Brewers have won each of their last 10 night games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Mets have lost each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 12 night games following a win.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games against NL Central opponents.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last six road games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Brewers’ last nine games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mets’ last 10 games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Brewers’ last 10 home games against NL East opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Woodruff has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Brandon Woodruff has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in night games.
- Danny Jansen has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two games against the Brewers.
- Kodai Senga has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Friday appearances against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Kodai Senga has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents.
Brewers vs Mets Prediction
These two teams come into this matchup trending in two completely different directions, so it will be interesting to see how this series plays out. New York is really struggling right now and they are 25-31 on the road, while Milwaukee is red hot and they are 36-20 at home. The Brewers are starting Woodruff, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. The Mets are going with Senga, who has allowed 4, 3, and 4 earned runs in his last three outings. Take the Brewers to win another game at home.