In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Mets Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, August 27th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have a 60-73 record this season and sit in fifth place in the NL East. They have a 31-36 home record and are coming off an 1-8 home loss against the Brewers. They will face the Astros and the Rays next.
The New York Mets have a .237 batting average this season, .307 OBP, and .391 slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Carson Benge is the Mets’ best hitter with a .281 batting average. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 66. Juan Soto adds a team-high 21 home runs.
Sean Manaea (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, has a 4-5 record, 4.31 ERA, and 1.31 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have an 82-51 record this season and sit in first place in the NL Central. They have a 37-27 road record and are coming off an 8-1 road win against the Mets. They will face the Rangers and the Cubs next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .254 batting average this season, .337 OBP, and .396 slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.39 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the Brewers’ best hitter with a .276 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 78. Jake Bauers adds a team-high 23 home runs.
Jacob Misiorowski (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, has a 13-5 record, 1.68 ERA, and 0.76 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets Betting Trends: August 27, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea Record this season: 4-5 ERA: 4.31
- Home Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Brewers: 1-1
Why the New York Mets will win
- The underdogs have won eight of the Brewers’ last 10 games at Citi Field.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites following a win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as road favorites against NL opponents following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games following a home loss.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski Record this season: 13-5 ERA: 1.68
- Road Record: 6-4
- Last 5 against Mets: 0-1
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won five of their last six games at Citi Field against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mets have lost five of their last six home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in 20 of their last 24 games at Citi Field against teams that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 11 games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the Mets’ last 14 home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Brewers’ last seven games as favorites against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last 10 games as road favorites against NL opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mets’ last six home games against NL Central opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Sean Manaea has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
- Carson Benge has recorded at least one hit in each of his 13 previous Thursday appearances.
- Luis Torrens has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in seven of his last 12 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Jacob Misiorowski has recorded a win in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents.
- Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (216) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (166).
- The Mets rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.307).
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (121).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.337).
Brewers vs Mets Prediction
The Mets are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Brewers and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in New York.
In this Brewers vs Mets Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -210 road favorites. I like the Brewers with Jacob Misiorowski on the mound, who has been the best pitcher in baseball this season and has already faced and shut out this Mets team this season. On the flip side, Sean Manaea has given up 8 runs in his last two starts and the Brewers have both a superior offense and bullpen ERA in their last 10 games. Take the Brewers to win this one comfortably and cover the runline.