In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 11th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 53-40 this year after they swept the Dodgers in three games by scores of 9-1, 3-1, and 3-2. In their game three win, Milwaukee trailed 2-1 in the ninth inning, but they forced extra innings and got the win in the 10th. The Brewers recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Vaughn and Chourio, who both had one RBI in the win. Milwaukee started Quintana, who allowed two hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Megill picked up the win.
Prior to that series, the Brewers won two out of three against the Marlins, but did lose two out of three against the Mets. Milwaukee has won five of their last six games and they are currently second in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 435 runs with a .247 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 18 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has added 15 home runs and 56 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Quinn Priester, who is 6-2 with a 3.59 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 82.2 innings pitched this year.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 38-55 this season after they lost two out of three against St. Louis by scores of 2-4, 8-2, and 1-8. In their game three loss, Washington allowed the first eight runs in the game, but did score in the eighth inning to avoid being shutout. The Nationals recorded just four hits in the game and they were led by Young, who went 0-3 with one RBI in the loss. Washington started Soroka, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Thompson allowed five earned runs in relief.
Prior to that series, the Nationals lost all three games against the Red Sox, but did win two out of three against the Tigers before that. Washington has lost five of their last six games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.15 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .263 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 408 runs with a .246 batting average and a .312 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 24 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Nathaniel Lowe has added 14 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Mitchell Parker, who is 5-9 with a 4.72 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 97.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Brewers will beat the Nationals
- The Brewers have won each of their last eight night games at American Family Field following a home win.
- The Nationals have lost five of their last six games.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 night games against the Nationals following a win.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games at American Family Field against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Nationals’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last four night games at American Family Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four home games against NL East opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 25 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 11 night games.
- CJ Abrams has recorded a Double in three of the Nationals’ last four road games against NL Central opponents.
- Luis Garcia has hit a home run in five of his last six appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- James Wood ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.387) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (108).
- The Brewers rank 25th in the league for doubles this season (131).
- The Nationals rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (5.15).
- The Nationals rank 28th in the league for runs allowed this season (497).
Brewers vs Nationals Prediction
Milwaukee surges into this contest playing very well over the last few series and they are closing in on the Cubs in the division. The Brewers are 30-17 at home this season, while the Nationals are 20-27 on the road. Washington has one of the worst pitching staffs in the MLB and they are starting Parker, who has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts. Milwaukee is going with Priester, who has allowed 4, 0, 3, 1, and 1 earned run in his last five outings. I don’t trust this Washington pitching staff, especially against a red hot Brewers team, so give me Milwaukee -1.5 here.