In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Orioles Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, September 18th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Baltimore Orioles have a 75-78 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the AL East. They have a 36-39 home record and are coming off a 7-1 road win against the Mets. They will face the Blue Jays and the Yankees next.
The Baltimore Orioles have a .234 batting average this season, .315 OBP and .396 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Pete Alonso is the team’s best hitter with a .267 batting average, leading the team in RBI with 102 and adding a team-high 37 home runs.
Cade Povich (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 2-1 record, 4.05 ERA and 1.44 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 95-58 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 43-32 away record and are coming off a 7-4 road loss against the Pirates. They will face the Phillies and the Cardinals next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .259 batting average this season, .342 OBP and .405 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the team’s best hitter with a .286 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 93, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 26 home runs.
Dustin May (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 7-9 record, 4.49 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: September 18, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cade Povich Record this season: 2-1 ERA: 4.05
- Home Record: 2-0
- Last 5 against Brewers: –
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs against NL opponents following a road win.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last six games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against NL opponents following a road win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last four road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites against AL opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Dustin May Record this season: 7-9 ERA: 4.49
- Road Record: 2-4
- Last 5 against Orioles: 0-1
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won eight of their last nine night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against NL opponents.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in eight of their last nine games against AL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Brewers’ last eight games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the last six games between the Brewers and Orioles have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last nine games against AL opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last six games as home underdogs against NL opponents.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Colton Cowser has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Cade Povich has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances.
- Pete Alonso ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (37) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents.
- Jake Bauers ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.394) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1439).
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (1328).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1350).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.342).
Brewers vs Orioles Prediction
The Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Orioles and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Baltimore.
In this Brewers vs Orioles Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -140 road favorites. I don’t like the pitching in this matchup, as both starters have a 4+ ERA and Dustin May sits on a 5.50 road ERA this season. Both offenses have been red-hot lately, especially Milwaukee’s and they both average 12.5 runs per game combined in their last 10 games and as a result, they are 12-4 to the over in their last 16 games combined. Take the over 8.5 in this one.