The Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers meet Saturday in MLB action at American Family Field. Here’s a Brewers vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Brewers vs Phillies Pick.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 37-32 on the year and play the Marlins and Mets next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .226 on the season, with a .296 OBP and a .385 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Brandon Marsh leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 73 hits and 31 RBI, while Trea Turner and Bryce Harper have combined for 125 hits and 59 RBI.
Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 3-4 with a 5.86 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. Nola is 7-3 with a 3.09 ERA and 101 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 42-25 on the year and play the Braves and Guardians next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting. 254 on the season, have a .340 OBP, and have a .390 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 3.42 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 71 hits and 43 RBI, while Brice Turang and Jake Bauers have combined for 121 hits and 88 RBI.
Shane Drohan gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 3-1 with a 3.11 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. This will be Drohan’s first career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last six games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in four of their last five night games.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last seven games following a road loss.
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six road games following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Phillies following a win.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Phillies’ last eight night games against National League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last four games against NL East opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Phillies’ last six games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against the Phillies.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances with the Phillies as underdogs against the Brewers.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (24) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (654).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.340).
- The Phillies rank 29th in the league for hits this season (519).
- The Phillies rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (90).
Brewers vs Phillies Prediction
The Phillies at plus money with Nola on the mound would usually be an automatic bet, but he hasn’t been himself this season. Through 66 innings, Nola has a 5.86 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, and a .284 batting average allowed. I don’t like that heading into Milwaukee. Drohan has been respectful in his first 37.2 career innings, especially at home, where he has a 2.35 ERA and .205 batting average allowed. I’ll side with the Brewers at home to keep the momentum rolling.