In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Pirates Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, September 15th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 75-75 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 38-34 home record and are coming off a 4-3 home win against the Cubs. They will face the Royals and the Cardinals next.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a .253 batting average this season, .330 OBP and .401 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .304 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 85, adding a team-high 29 home runs.
Lake Bachar (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 1-3 record, 3.52 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 93-57 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 41-31 away record and are coming off a 3-4 home loss against the Reds. They will face the Orioles and the Phillies next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .259 batting average this season, .341 OBP and .406 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the team’s best hitter with a .292 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 92, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 26 home runs.
Jacob Misiorowski (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 14-5 record, 1.95 ERA and 0.80 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: September 15, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Lake Bachar Record this season: 1-3 ERA: 3.52
- Home Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-1
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The home team has won seven of the Brewers’ last eight games.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as road favorites.
- The Pirates have covered the run line each of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against the Pirates following a loss.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games as road favorites.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games.
- The Pirates have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski Record this season: 14-5 ERA: 1.95
- Road Record: 7-4
- Last 5 against Pirates: 2-0
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last nine Tuesday games against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have lost nine of their last 10 games against the Brewers following a road win.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games following a win.
- The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Pirates’ last nine games.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last three night games.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last six games as favorites against the Pirates have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Pirates’ last five night games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last six games against NL opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last six night games.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit a home run in each of his last four Tuesday night appearances against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Ryan O’Hearn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Lake Bachar has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Nick Gonzales ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.304) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has hit a home run in four of the Brewers’ last five night games.
- Jacob Misiorowski has recorded a win in six of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous road appearances against the Pirates after not playing the previous day.
- Jacob Misiorowski ranks T1st in the league for total Strikeouts (236) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (145).
- The Pirates rank 4th in the league for hits this season (1302).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1323).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.341).
Brewers vs Pirates Prediction
The Brewers have won their last three meetings against the Pirates but have lost their last three visits in Pittsburgh.
In this Brewers vs Pirates Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -250 road favorites. I like the Brewers with Jacob Misiorowski, going up against a Pirates team that will have a bullpen game today. Misiorowski is tied for the best ERA in baseball this season and the Brewers’ bats have been scorching-hot, averaging 10.2 runs in their last 5 games. On the flip side, the Pirates have scored just 11 runs in their last four games and they also have a weaker bullpen, so I like the Brewers to win this one comfortably and cover the runline.