In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 4th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 69-43 this year after they lost game one by a score of 3-4 last night. Milwaukee cut the deficit from 4-0 to 4-3 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Brewers recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Ortiz, who went 3-4 with one RBI. Sproat allowed five hits and four earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Stallings threw three innings in relief. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Angels, but lost two out of three against the Giants before that.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.48 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .220 opponent batting average, while they have scored 558 runs with a .253 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 20 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 16 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Logan Henderson, who is 5-1 with a 2.66 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP over 44.0 innings pitched this year.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 57-57 this season after they won game one by a score of 4-3 on Monday. Pittsburgh scored four runs in the first four innings, but failed to score in the last five innings in the narrow win. The Pirates recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Horwitz, who went 1-4 with three RBIs. Chandler allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Montgomery picked up the save. Prior to this series, Pittsburgh lost three out of four against the Reds and two out of three against the Diamondbacks.
This season, Pittsburgh has a 4.29 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 582 runs with a .258 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Brandon Lowe has led the Pirates with 23 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added 17 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Jared Jones, who is 2-2 with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 52.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Pirates have lost nine of their last 10 night games at American Family Field following a road win.
- The Brewers have won seven of their last eight night games following a loss.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games following a win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Pirates following a home loss.
- The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Tuesday road games.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in 13 of their last 14 Tuesday games as home favorites.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Brewers.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Pirates’ last five games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of Jared Jones’ last nine appearances as a starter.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Brewers’ last eight night games against National League opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jake Bauers has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three night games.
- Logan Henderson has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Pirates after playing the previous day.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Jared Jones has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his five previous road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Mangum has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Marcell Ozuna has hit a home run in seven of his last 14 appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Brewers.
- Nick Gonzales is one of only four players to hit over .300 and have 45+ RBIs this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (101).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (465).
- The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1022).
- The Pirates rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1076).
Brewers vs Pirates Prediction
Pittsburgh was able to get the win to start this series on Monday, but they have really struggled over the last few weeks. The Pirates are 28-29 on the road this year, while the Brewers are 36-21 at home. Milwaukee has lost two in a row and they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Brewers are starting Henderson, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Jones has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five. This should be another close game, so I will take the Pirates and the plus money.