In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 5th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 70-43 this year after they split the first two games by scores of 3-4 and 4-2. In game two, Milwaukee had their lead cut to 4-2 in the fifth inning, but they scored an insurance run in the fifth to seal the win. The Brewers recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Chourio, who went 3-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Henderson allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Megill picked up the save. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Angels, but lost two out of three against the Giants before that.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.47 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .219 opponent batting average, while they have scored 562 runs with a .254 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 20 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 16 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Kyle Harrison, who is 8-2 with a 3.01 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 83.2 innings pitched this year.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 57-58 this season after they lost game two by a score of 2-4 on Tuesday night. Pittsburgh led 1-0 in the third inning, but only scored one run in the last six innings for the loss. The Pirates recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Gonzalez, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Jones allowed eight hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Dotel allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Pittsburgh lost three out of four against the Reds and two out of three against the Diamondbacks.
This season, Pittsburgh has a 4.30 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 584 runs with a .257 batting average and a .334 on base percentage. Brandon Lowe has led the Pirates with 23 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added 17 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Paul Skenes, who is 9-9 with a 3.90 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 124.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last 10 Wednesday games at American Family Field.
- The Brewers have won 14 of their last 16 night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Pirates following a win.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Wednesday games at American Family Field.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday games against the Pirates.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight games.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last four games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs against the Brewers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last six games at American Family Field.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last six night games against National League opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three home games.
- Kyle Harrison has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances against NL opponents.
- Kyle Harrison has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Brewers as home favorites.
- Jake Bauers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.
- Kyle Harrison is one of only three pitchers to record 90+ Strikeouts and 20 or less Walks this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Paul Skenes has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Paul Skenes has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Jake Mangum has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Endy Rodriguez has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against the Brewers.
- Nick Gonzales ranks T5th in the league in Hits (127) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (103).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (467).
- The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1027).
- The Pirates rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1087).
Brewers vs Pirates Prediction
Pittsburgh comes into this matchup after alternating wins and losses over their last five games and they are now 14 games back in the NL Central. The Pirates are 28-30 on the road this year, while the Brewers are 37-21 at home. Milwaukee has won three of their last five games, but they have scored three runs or fewer in three of their last four. The Brewers are starting Harrison, who is coming off of the IL, but has been solid this year, while Skenes has allowed 10 earned runs in his last 9.1 innings. Take the over here.