In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 6th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 71-43 this year after they won two of the first three games in this series by scores of 3-4, 4-2, and 4-2. In game three, Milwaukee scored the first four runs and they cruised to the win. The Brewers recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Vaughn, who went 1-3 with two RBIs. Harrison allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Megill picked up the save. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Angels, but lost two out of three against the Giants before that.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.45 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .218 opponent batting average, while they have scored 566 runs with a .253 batting average and a .336 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 20 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 16 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Dustin May, who is 5-7 with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 109.0 innings pitched this year.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 57-59 this season after they lost game three by a score of 2-4 on Wednesday night. Pittsburgh cut the deficit to 4-2 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Pirates recorded three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Rodriguez, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Skenes allowed two hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Bachar allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Pittsburgh lost three out of four against the Reds and two out of three against the Diamondbacks.
This season, Pittsburgh has a 4.30 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 586 runs with a .256 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Brandon Lowe has led the Pirates with 23 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added 17 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Braxton Ashcraft, who is 11-4 with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 127.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last six games against the Pirates following a home win.
- The Pirates have lost four of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Pirates following a win.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last eight day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six day games against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last six day games following a road loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Thursday day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Thursday day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Pirates’ last five games as underdogs against the Brewers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last 13 day games at American Family Field.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last seven games between the Pirates and Brewers at American Family Field.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Dustin May has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in four of his last 10 appearances with his team as a favorite against the Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Endy Rodriguez has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Brewers.
- Braxton Ashcraft has recorded a win in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents.
- Braxton Ashcraft has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances in day games.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Nick Gonzales ranks 5th in the league in Hits (128) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (104).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.218).
- The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1030).
- The Pirates rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1101).
Brewers vs Pirates Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with the best record in baseball and they are looking for another series win here. The Brewers are 38-21 at home this year, while the Pirates are 28-31 on the road. Pittsburgh has lost three of their last four games and they have scored two runs in all three of those losses. The Pirates are starting Ashcraft, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while May has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. Take the Brewers here.