In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, October 23rd at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this World Series matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this series after defeating the Dodgers in the NLCS in four games by scores of 2-1, 7-4, 6-2, and 6-4. In game four, Milwaukee trailed 4-0 in the second inning, but they scored the last six runs to escape with the comeback win. The Brewers recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bauers, who went 1-3 with three RBIs. Drohan opened the game, while Romero got the win and Ashby picked up the save. Prior to that series, Milwaukee defeated the Padres in four games in the NLDS and had a bye in the wild card round.
This season, Milwaukee had a 3.51 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .221 opponent batting average, while they scored 832 runs with a .258 batting average and a .341 on base percentage. Jake Bauers led the Brewers with 26 home runs and 86 RBIs, while Brice Turang added 21 home runs and 100 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Jacob Misiorowski, who is 0-0 with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP over 8.1 innings pitched this postseason.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays come into this series after defeating the Guardians in the ALCS in six games by scores of 3-7, 3-1, 2-3, 7-3, 3-1, and 7-3. In game six, Tampa Bay had their lead cut to 5-3 in the eighth inning, but they added two runs in the bottom of the eighth to seal the win. The Rays recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Caminero, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Peralta allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.1 innings for the win, while Kelly picked up a hold. Prior to that series, Tampa Bay defeated the Yankees in the ALDS and also had a bye in the wild card round.
This season, Tampa Bay had a 3.70 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while they scored 736 runs with a .258 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda led the Rays with 22 home runs and 92 RBIs, while Junior Caminero added 42 home runs and 101 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Nick Martinez, who is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 9.0 innings pitched this postseason.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 12 games at American Family Field against teams that held a winning record.
- The Rays have lost each of their last six night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last eight home games following a road win.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in eight of their last nine home games against AL opponents.
- The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against NL Central opponents.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last eight night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have covered the run line each of their last 10 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in five of their last six home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last nine night playoff games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Rays’ last five road games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last nine home games against AL opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Rays’ last six night games against NL opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four playoff games as home favorites.
- Jacob Misiorowski has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against AL East opponents.
- Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (252) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Brewers after not playing the previous day.
- Nick Martinez has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games.
- Chandler Simpson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last nine road games against NL Central opponents.
- Chandler Simpson ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (46) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1422).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.258).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1145).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (409).
Brewers vs Rays Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this matchup as a pretty big favorite to win game one and they have won six of their seven playoff games. The Brewers were 55-26 at home this year, while the Rays were 43-38 on the road. Tampa Bay won the last three games in their series with Cleveland and they have allowed three runs or fewer in five straight. Martinez has allowed three earned runs over 9.0 innings, while Misiorowski has allowed three earned runs over 8.1 innings in the playoffs. I know the postseason has been lower scoring, but both offenses are hot and even Misiorowski hasn’t been great. Take the over here.