In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Rays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, October 27th in Game 4 of the World Series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays finished the regular season with a 98-64 record and were placed 1st in the AL East. They have a 55-26 home record and are coming off a 1-10 home loss against the Brewers.
The Tampa Bay Rays have a .221 batting average this postseason, .280 OBP and .334 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Jonathan Aranda is the team’s best hitter with a .295 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 8, while Yandy Diaz adds a team-high 2 home runs.
Griffin Jax (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 0-1 record, 6.00 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in the postseason.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers finished the regular season with a 103-59 record and were placed 1st in the NL Central. They have a 48-33 road record and are coming off a 10-1 road win against the Rays.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .272 batting average this postseason, .360 OBP and .406 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 2.02 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .419 batting average, adding a team-high 3 home runs. Jackson Chourio leads the team in RBI with 9.
The Brewers have not yet announced a starting pitcher for this game. Brandon Woodruff was originally expected to open, but after he pitched out of the bullpen to close out Game 3, Milwaukee is likely going for a bullpen game, with options like Dustin May, Kyle Harrison, or Shane Drohan are expected to take the mound.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends: October 27, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Griffin Jax Record this season (inc. playoffs): 8-11 ERA: 3.65
- Home Record: 4-5
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-2
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last six games against NL opponents following a home loss.
- The Brewers have lost seven of their last nine road playoff games after playing the previous day.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last seven playoff games as underdogs.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight home night playoff games.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: TBD
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 13 games after playing the previous day.
- The Rays have lost each of their last nine night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games against NL opponents.
- The Rays have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Rays’ last seven home games against NL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Brewers’ last 12 night playoff games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last six road games against AL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the last eight night games between the Brewers and Rays.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Junior Caminero has hit a home run in four of the Rays’ last six home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Griffin Jax has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 11 home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Chandler Simpson ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (46) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Garrett Mitchell has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three road games.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against AL East opponents.
- Jake Bauers ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.389) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1145).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (409).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1422).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.258).
Brewers vs Rays Prediction
The Brewers have won their last five meetings against the Rays, including their last two visits in Tampa. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
In this Brewers vs Rays Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -135 road favorites. I like the Rays in this game to win at least one game and avoid getting swept at home. They are also coming off an embarrassing 1-10 defeat in the first World Series game in front of their home crowd, so I expect them to bounce back today and at plus money, this is a bargain. Griffin Jax has been solid and the Brewers will probably use multiple pitchers and I don’t see them pushing too hard for a win. Take the Rays in this one for plus money.