The Boston Red Sox and Milwaukee Brewers meet Monday in MLB action at American Family Field. Here’s a Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Brewers vs Red Sox Pick.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 27-28 on the year and play the Braves, Angels, and Yankees next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .254 on the season, have a .325 OBP, and a .425 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 65 hits and 33 RBI, while Rafael Devers and Alex Bregman have combined for 119 hits and 23 RBI.
Garrett Crochet gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 4-3 with a 1.98 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. This will be Crochet’s second career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 26-28 on the year and play the Phillies, Reds, and Padres next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .233 on the season, have a .311 OBP, and a .353 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Jackson Chourio leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 56 hits and 27 RBI while Brice Turang and Sal Frelick have combined for 102 hits and 39 RBI.
Chad Patrick gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 2-4 with a 3.23 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. This will be Patrick’s first career game against the Boston Red Sox.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The underdogs have won six of the Red Sox’s last seven games.
- The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Red Sox and Brewers.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against National League opponents.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The favorites have won each of the Brewers’ last nine games at American Family Field.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs following a win.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Red Sox and Brewers.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Monday day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Rhys Hoskins has recorded a Double in three of the Brewers’ last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in three of his four previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Red Sox.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Rhys Hoskins has scored at least one run in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as an underdog against the Red Sox.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last five day games.
- Jarren Duran has scored at least one run in nine of the Red Sox’s last 10 road games against NL opponents.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 22 road games against NL opponents.
- Triston Casas has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against NL opponents.
- Jarren Duran ranks T4th in the league in Hits (65) this season.
Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction
The Red Sox are the better team and Crochet has been fantastic this season with a 1.98 ERA and 1.07 WHIP, but I’m leaning toward the Brewers and the plus money. Patrick has been solid in his own right with a 3.23 ERA and 1.26 WHIP, and he’s been even better in 33.1 home innings, where he’s produced a 2.70 ERA and .228 allowed batting average. Patrick has allowed no more than three earned runs in all 11 starts this season. We’re getting a nice price with the Brewers at home and a consistent, reliable pitcher. I’ll take a stab with the Brewers.