In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Reds Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, September 4th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 67-73 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 34-37 home record and are coming off a 7-3 home win against the Padres. They will face the Dodgers and the Brewers next.
The Cincinnati Reds have a .228 batting average this season, .307 OBP, and .396 slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.64 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the Reds’ best hitter with a .273 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 105, adding a team-high 31 home runs.
Rhett Lowder (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, with a 6-8 record, 5.14 ERA, and 1.46 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have an 87-54 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 40-29 road record and are coming off a 1-2 road loss against the Cubs. They will face the Cubs and the Reds next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .256 batting average this season, .339 OBP, and .399 slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.47 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the Brewers’ best hitter with a .285 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 79, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 23 home runs.
Shane Drohan (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, with a 7-5 record, 3.75 ERA, and 1.30 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends: September 4, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Rhett Lowder Record this season: 6-8 ERA: 5.14
- Home Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-3
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The underdogs have won four of the Brewers’ last five games.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in 17 of the Brewers’ last 19 games at Great American Ball Park.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as road favorites against the Reds following a road loss.
- The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four games against the Brewers.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Drohan Record this season: 7-5 ERA: 3.75
- Road Record: 4-2
- Last 5 against Reds: 0-0
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last seven home games against the Brewers following a win.
- The Brewers have won each of their last six games against the Reds following a road loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games following a win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Reds following a loss.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last five games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Brewers’ last seven road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last five games at Great American Ball Park.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last four games between the Brewers and Reds.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Sal Stewart has hit a home run in four of the Reds’ last five games against NL Central opponents.
- Rhett Lowder has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 21 games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Sal Stewart ranks 10th in the league in Home Runs (31) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Shane Drohan has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Brewers as favorites against NL opponents.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 16 games as favorites against the Reds.
- Bo Naylor has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Jake Bauers ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.389) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (1064).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.228).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1226).
- The Brewers rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (131).
Brewers vs Reds Prediction
The Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 meetings against the Reds and have won their last three visits in Cincinnati.
In this Brewers vs Reds Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -155 road favorites. I like the Brewers in this one with Shane Drohan, who has been the better pitching option than Rhett Lowder. Drohan has been better on the road with a 4-2 record and 3.38 ERA, while Lowder has been in bad shape, having given up 11 runs in his last three starts. On top of that, Cincinnati’s bullpen has been struggling lately, with a 6+ ERA in their last 10 games, while the Brewers have the third-best offense in baseball. Take the Brewers to win on the road.