In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 11th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 91-56 this year after they swept the Cubs by scores of 4-3, 4-3, and 8-6. In game three, Milwaukee led 8-1 in the sixth inning, but they nearly blew the game in the ninth. The Brewers recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Yelich, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Henderson allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Sproat allowed four earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Milwaukee lost two out of three against the Reds and split four games with the Cubs.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.56 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .222 opponent batting average, while they have scored 742 runs with a .257 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 24 home runs and 78 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 17 home runs and 86 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Dustin May, who is 6-9 with a 4.69 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 132.1 innings pitched this year.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 69-77 this season after they lost all three against the Dodgers by scores of 3-6, 2-3, and 1-14. In game three, Cincinnati cut the deficit to 3-1 in the fourth inning, but allowed the last 11 runs in the ugly loss. The Reds recorded six hits in the game and they were led by De La Cruz, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Lowder allowed seven hits and seven earned runs over 3.1 innings for the loss, while Johnson allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Cincinnati won two out of three against the Brewers and two out of three against the Padres.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.73 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 611 runs with a .230 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 31 home runs and 107 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 26 home runs and 70 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 6-10 with a 4.43 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 152.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last six home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have lost four of their last five road games.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at American Family Field.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in nine of their last 10 home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine road games.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won each of their last six night games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 20 of their last 24 games as favorites against the Reds following a win.
- The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four games against the Brewers.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Brewers.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Reds’ last eight games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the last five games between the Reds and Brewers at American Family Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last eight night games at American Family Field.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Reds’ last seven games against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four home games against NL Central opponents.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 11 home games against the Reds.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last five games.
- Andrew Abbott has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 24 games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Sal Stewart ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (31) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank T1st in the league for hits this season (1280).
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (137).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.308).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1396).
Brewers vs Reds Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this series after sweeping the Cubs in three games and they have scored 24 runs in their last four games. The Brewers are 50-25 at home this year, while the Reds are 33-39 on the road. Cincinnati lost all three against the Dodgers and they scored just six runs in that series. The Reds are starting Abbott, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last five starts, while May has allowed 4+ earned runs in two of his last four outings. Take the over here.