In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 13th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 93-56 this season after they won the first two games by scores of 20-0 and 13-9. In game two, Milwaukee was tied at five in the fourth inning, but they scored the next eight runs to pull away with the win. The Brewers recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Mitchell, who went 4-5 with one home run and four RBIs. Drohan allowed five hits and five earned runs over 3.2 innings, while Patrick picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Milwaukee swept the Cubs in three games, but lost two out of three against the Reds before that.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.57 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .222 opponent batting average, while they have scored 775 runs with a .260 batting average and a .342 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 25 home runs and 82 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 19 home runs and 92 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is TBD.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 69-79 this year after they lost game two by a score of 9-13 on Saturday. Cincinnati scored four runs in the eighth to make it interesting, but their pitching staff left them down for another loss. The Reds recorded 14 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Brito, who went 3-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Singer allowed eight hits and eight earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Ashcraft allowed five earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Cincinnati lost all three against the Dodgers, but did win two out of three against the Brewers before that.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.90 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while they have scored 620 runs with a .230 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 31 home runs and 107 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 26 home runs and 71 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Chase Burns, who is 15-3 with a 2.73 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 148.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have lost each of their last five games.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Reds and Brewers.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at American Family Field.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in 10 of their last 11 road games.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won each of their last four day games against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five day games against the Reds following a win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against the Reds following a home win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games at American Family Field following a loss.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Reds’ last 10 games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the last six games between the Reds and Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last nine games between the Reds and Brewers.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Reds’ last nine games against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 13 home games against the Reds.
- Jake Bauers ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.395) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Juan Brito has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances after playing the previous day.
- Chase Burns has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances.
- Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 26 games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Chase Burns has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Reds as underdogs.
- Chase Burns ranks T3rd in the league for Wins (15) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1303).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.341).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (1119).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.229).
Brewers vs Reds Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this matchup looking to complete the series sweep and they have scored 31 runs in their last three games. The Brewers are 52-25 at home this year, while the Reds are 33-41 on the road. Cincinnati has lost five in a row and they have allowed 13+ runs in three straight. The Reds are starting Burns, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while the Brewers have not announced their starter. Take the Reds here.