In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Monday, March 31, at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals (1-2, 0-0 Away) opened this season with a three-game home series against the divisional rivals Cleveland Guardians. The Royals bounced back from an extra-innings 7-4 loss with a 4-3 win but lost the final game 6-2.
This season, the Royals average 3.33 runs per game (20th in the MLB) on a .218/.272/.347 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Royals’ staff has a 5.33 ERA (24th) and 1.39 WHIP (23rd). Vinnie Pasquantino leads the Royals with a .333 batting average, one home run, and three RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Royals is Kris Bubic, who went 1-1 with a 2.67 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 30.1 innings pitched in 2024. He served as a relief pitcher but has now returned to the starting rotation.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers (0-3, 0-0 Home) have been dismantled by the New York Yankees in the opening series of this season. After losing 4-2 in the first game of a three-game series, the Brewers allowed 32 runs in the next two games! The Yankees won 20-9 and 12-3, respectively, which is unacceptable for Milwaukee, who won the NL Central in style last season, recording 93 wins, ten more than the Chicago Cubs.
This year, the Brewers average 4.67 runs per game (8th in the MLB) on a .236/.298/.345 slash line. The Brewers’ pitching staff has a 12.00 ERA (32nd) and 2.08 WHIP (32nd). Jake Bauers is the best offensive player for the Brewers, with a .400 batting average, one home run, and three RBI last season.
Elvin Rodriguez will take the mound for the Brewers on Monday. The 26-year-old right-hander hasn’t pitched since 2023, when he played for the Tampa Bay Rays.
Why the Royals will beat the Brewers
- The Royals have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last four games.
- The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Monday games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Royals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against NL Central opponents.
Why the Brewers will beat the Royals
- The Brewers have won each of their last 11 games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Royals have lost each of their last four day games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games following a home loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last five games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Royals have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games at American Family Field against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Royals’ last 10 road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five day games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Brewers’ last nine games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Royals’ last six games at American Family Field.
Brewers vs Royals Prediction
The Royals won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Brewers were better in four of the last six duels. The pitching situation is quite peculiar for both teams in this game; Bubic spent the last year as a reliever, while Rodriguez will pitch for the first time in two years, and he has just eight career games (five starts) in the MLB. I am not sure for how long they will stay on the mound, but I am sure both will struggle on Monday. The Brewers’ pitching will definitely improve after the series with the Yankees, but the Royals have an excellent chance to score 5+ runs here. Give me the Over.