The Detroit Tigers and the Milwaukee Brewers meet on Monday in MLB action from American Family Field. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. Here’s a Brewers vs Tigers prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Brewers vs Tigers pick.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Tigers opened the year with three straight losses versus the Los Angeles Dodgers, but then recovered with wins in two of three versus the Seattle Mariners. Detroit would then sweep the struggling Chicago White Sox in the next set before taking two of three versus the New York Yankees. The Tigers eked out a 7-6 win on Friday over the Twins to open their weekend series, then on Saturday, Detroit posted just five hits but still managed a nice shutout win 4-0. Spencer Torkelson had two of the team’s hits, along with two runs, three RBI, and a homer. Starter Jackson Jobe went 6.0 frames with two hits and a walk alongside two Ks.
In the Sunday matchup, the Tigers fell behind quickly 2-0 after two innings and stayed in the rear for good during a 5-1 loss. Spencer Torkelson had the team’s lone RBI with a solo homer, while Kerry Carpenter added two hits. Starting pitcher Casey Mize lasted 5.2 innings with four earned on seven hits alongside three strikeouts.
In the starting pitcher slot for Monday, the Tigers are going with Tarik Skubal. Over three starts this year, Skubal is 1-2 with a 3.78 ERA and 16.2 total innings. In his career, Skubal has a 42-33 record with a 3.38 ERA in 109 games (106 starts).
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
Over on the Brewers’ side, they opened the year by getting swept in three games by the New York Yankees. Milwaukee would win two of three versus the Kansas City Royals in the next set, then won three of four versus the Cincinnati Reds. The Brewers took two of three versus the Colorado Rockies last week, then powered out a 7-0 Friday victory in their opener versus the Arizona Diamondbacks. On Saturday, the Brewers had a 4-0 lead going into the bottom of the ninth inning but blew it in an eventual 5-4 loss. Jackson Chourio posted a solo home run with two runs and two hits. Starter Chad Patrick pitched 4.1 innings with five hits and two walks.
In the Sunday game, Milwaukee had an early 2-0 lead but eventually lost 5-2 after running out of gas on offense. William Contreras put up two hits, a homer, and two RBI. Starting pitcher Freddy Peralta lasted 5.1 innings with two earned on four hits and four walks.
As the starting pitcher for Monday, the Brewers will send out Tyler Alexander. So far this year, Alexander has appeared in four games (two starts), notching a 1-0 record with a 2.84 ERA over 12.2 frames. Alexander is 18-28 with a 4.50 ERA in 147 games (54 starts) over his career.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last nine night games against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have lost each of their last four games against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 night games against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in six of their last seven home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against American League opponents.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won seven of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 road games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Monday home games against AL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in each of their last three games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against the Brewers at American Family Field.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last seven games as underdogs against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Tigers’ last four night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last 10 Monday night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last six games against NL Central opponents.
Brewers vs Tigers Prediction
I’ll take a stab at the Brewers here. Alexander was a bit shaky in his last outing, though, going 3.2 innings with two earned, six hits, and two walks in Colorado on April 9. In the start prior to that, however, Alexander put up 5.2 clean frames in a win versus the Reds, notching no hits and three walks along the way. As for Skubal, he took a couple of losses in his first pair of starts with 10.2 total innings, seven earned, 12 hits, and four walks. On April 8, versus a talented Yankees lineup, however, Skubal went 6.0 frames with no earned, no walks, and four hits in a victory. He’ll be tough to get hits against if he’s on point on Monday.
Milwaukee had a tough day on offense Sunday, mustering a tepid six team hits in the three-run loss. The bats need to bounce back for Monday’s opener.