In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 18, at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins (26-20, 11-14 Away) are playing their best baseball of the season and are currently on a 13-game winning streak. Minnesota beat the Red Sox and swept the Orioles (twice) and Giants before defeating the Brewers in the opening two games of this series. The Twins kept the Brewers off the scoreboard for the second time in a 7-0 victory. They haven’t conceded a run in 33 consecutive innings, which is a new franchise record! Last night, Brooks Lee led the offense with two RBI, while Pablo Lopez got the win after allowing no runs on two hits with six strikeouts and two walks across 6.0 innings of work.
This year, the Twins average 4.11 runs per game (17th in the MLB) on a .239/.308/.376 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Twins’ staff has a 3.23 ERA (3rd) and 1.15 WHIP (3rd). Byron Buxton leads the Twins with a .261 batting average, ten home runs, and 27 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Twins is Zebby Matthews, who will start for the first time this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers (21-25, 12-9 Home) lost seven of the last nine games. After series defeats to the Astros, Rays, and Guardians, the Brewers failed to score in both duels against Minnesota. The Brewers haven’t scored a single run in four of their previous five games. On Saturday, Tobias Myers took the loss after allowing four runs on 11 hits with four strikeouts and no walks in 3.2 innings.
This season, the Brewers average 4.29 runs per game (15th in the MLB) on a .231/.308/.351 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Brewers’ staff has a 4.13 ERA (19th) and 1.32 WHIP (20th). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with a .196 batting average, seven home runs, and 26 RBI this season.
Freddy Peralta will take the mound for the Twins on Sunday. The 28-year-old right-hander has a 4-3 record in nine starts this year with a 2.66 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 50.2 innings.
Why the Brewers will beat the Twins
- The Brewers have won five of their last six home games against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Twins have lost each of their last three day games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games following a loss.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven road day games.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as home favorites against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Brewers’ last eight games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Twins’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Twins’ last nine road games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Brewers’ last five day games at American Family Field.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank T26th in the league for home runs this season (37).
- The Brewers rank 26th in the league for walks allowed this season (172).
- The Twins rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.15).
- The Twins rank 5th in the league for strikeouts this season (414).
Brewers vs Twins Prediction
The teams have traded wins in the last couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. It’s hard to expect the Twins to register another shutout game, especially with Zebby Matthews on the mound. Matthews hasn’t started a game this year, and last season, he posted a 6.69 ERA in 37.2 innings. It’s time for the Brewers to shake off their poor hitting form and score multiple runs off Matthews. Freddy Peralta, on the other hand, allowed more than two runs only twice this season, and he allowed a .161 BA in 31 at-bats against the Twins. Back the Brewers to win.