In this article we will formulate a Cardinals vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 6th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 47-40 this year after they won two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 17-1, 3-0, and 4-6. In game three, St. Louis led 3-2 in the sixth inning, but they allowed four runs in the bottom of the sixth for the loss. The Cardinals recorded seven hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Walker, who went 1-2 with one home run and four RBIs. Liberatore allowed four hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Svanson blew the save. Prior to that series, St. Louis won two out of three against the Braves, but lost two out of three against the Marlins before that.
This season, St. Louis has a 4.14 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 403 runs with a .248 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Jordan Walker has led the Cardinals with 20 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Alec Burleson has added 14 home runs and 63 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Dustin May, who is 5-6 with a 4.80 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 84.1 innings pitched this year.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 55-33 this season after they won two out of three against the Diamondbacks by scores of 7-4, 3-4, and 3-2. In game three, Milwaukee trailed 1-0 for most of the game, but they scored three runs in the seventh inning to escape with the win. The Brewers recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bauers, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Sproat allowed five hits and one earned run over 4.0 innings, while Rom picked up the win and Megill got the save. Prior to that series, Milwaukee won three out of four against the Reds, but lost two out of three against the Cubs before that.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.35 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .219 opponent batting average, while they have scored 449 runs with a .255 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 16 home runs and 54 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 12 home runs and 51 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Shane Drohan, who is 3-2 with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 57.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Cardinals have won each of their last six Monday games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against the Cardinals following a road win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against the Cardinals following a win.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games.
- The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against the Brewers at Busch Stadium.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last seven road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cardinals have lost four of their last five home games.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games.
- The Brewers have covered the run line each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Cardinals’ last 10 home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cardinals’ last four games as home underdogs.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last four games against NL Central opponents.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Nelson Velazquez has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL opponents.
- Dustin May has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
- Alec Burleson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last eight games against NL Central opponents.
- Ivan Herrera ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.393) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Shane Drohan has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Brewers as road favorites against NL opponents.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cardinals rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (654).
- The Cardinals rank T27th in the league for doubles this season (121).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.35).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (637).
Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction
St. Louis comes into this matchup after winning two of their last three games and they have scored 35 runs in their last four. The Cardinals are 23-21 at home this year, while the Brewers are 26-15 on the road. Milwaukee has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have scored three runs or fewer in three of their last four. The Brewers are starting Drohan, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts, while May has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 2.2 innings. Take the Brewers here.