The Saint Louis Cardinals are visiting the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday, June 14th at the American Family Field in the third game of this series, with the Brewers having a 2-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction. We will examine:
The Milwaukee Brewers’ recent form and player performance
The Saint Louis Cardinals’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Milwaukee Brewers
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Saint Louis Cardinals
Recent betting trends in games played between the Saint Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Saint Louis Cardinals vs the Milwaukee Brewers game
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 38-33 record this season and are sitting in second place in the NL Central. They have a 22-14 home record and are 26-42 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-2 home victory over the Cardinals, and are 3-1 in their last 4 games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games, and are playing the Cubs and the Twins next.
The Brewers have a .235 batting average this season, a .312 OBP, and a .362 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Jackson Churio leads the Brewers with 77 hits, while Christian Yelich leads the team in RBI, with 42, adding a team-high 13 home runs. Sal Frelick is the team’s best hitter with a .296 batting average.
Jose Quintana (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 4-1 record, 2.66 ERA, and 1.32 WHIP. He has been weaker at home, with a 4.60 ERA across three home starts, and he is coming off a quality start against the Padres with one earned run across 5 innings pitched. In his previous start against the Cardinals this season, he gave up one run in 5 innings of work. Jose Quintana has a 7-4 record with an ERA of 3.81 and 72 strikeouts in 15 appearances against the Cardinals in his career.
Saint Louis Cardinals Preview
The Saint Louis Cardinals have a 36-34 record this season and are sitting in third place in the NL Central. The Cardinals have a 14-20 road record and are 37-31 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-3 road defeat by the Brewers and have six consecutive losses. Under is 3-0 in their last 3 games, and they are playing the White Sox and the Reds next.
The Cardinals have a .255 batting average this season, a .326 OBP, and a .390 Slugging percentage. Saint Louis’ pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Brendan Donovan leads the Cardinals with 77 hits and a team-high .310 batting average, while Wilson Contreras leads the team in RBI, with 43.
Andre Pallante (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals, and he has a 4-3 record, 4.75 ERA, and 1.38 WHIP. He has been better on the road, with a 4.43 ERA across seven road starts, but he has given up 3+ runs in three of his last four starts. In his only previous start against the Brewers last season, he gave up 5 runs in 5 innings of work.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last six games.
- The Brewers have won five of their last six games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Cardinals have lost the first inning in each of their last three day games at American Family Field.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against the Cardinals at American Family Field.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight day games against the Cardinals at American Family Field.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Brewers have lost each of their last six Saturday day games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Cardinals have won nine of their last 11 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games following a road loss.
- The Cardinals have won the first inning in three of their last four games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cardinals’ last four games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last four home games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last 10 home games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Cardinals’ last eight day games at American Family Field.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (87).
- The Brewers rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.362).
- The Cardinals rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (492).
- The Cardinals rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (188).
Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers have won their last three meetings against the Cardinals, and both teams are tied 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Milwaukee. Under is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings.
In this Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -125 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records, but the Brewers have been very good at home, while the Cardinals are below average on the road. The Cardinals have been in a free fall lately with seven straight losses, and are weaker against lefties, scoring just 3.9 runs per game against left-handed pitching, down from their 4.6 average. Quintana has been playing very good for the Brewers lately, who are also hitting better against righties, so this all sums up as another Milwaukee Brewers home victory.