In this article we will formulate a Cardinals vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 5th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 32-28 this season after they lost two out of three against the Rangers by scores of 1-2, 4-7, and 5-3. In game three, St. Louis was tied at one in the third inning, but they scored the next four runs to pull away with the win. The Cardinals recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Burleson, who went 2-4 with three RBIs. Pallante allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings for the win, while O’Brien picked up the save. Prior to that series, St. Louis won two out of three against the Cubs, but lost all three against the Brewers before that.
This season, St. Louis has a 4.14 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 257 runs with a .240 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Jordan Walker has led the Cardinals with 15 home runs and 44 RBIs, while Alec Burleson has added seven home runs and 42 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Kyle Leahy, who is 5-3 with a 4.25 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP over 55.0 innings pitched this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 31-30 this year after they lost two out of three against the Royals by scores of 2-9, 4-3, and 2-5. In game three, Cincinnati tied the game at two in the fifth inning, but they allowed three runs in the ninth for the loss. The Reds recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Dunn, who went 2-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Burns allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Santillan allowed three earned runs for the loss. Prior to that series, Cincinnati lost two out of three against the Braves, but did win two out of three against the Mets before that.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.76 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while they have scored 264 runs with a .229 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz has led the Reds with 12 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Sal Stewart has added 12 home runs and 37 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Brady Singer, who is 2-5 with a 6.18 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP over 51.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents.
- The favorites have won eight of the Cardinals’ last nine games.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last eight Friday night games.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games.
- The Reds have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games.
- The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against the Reds.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Reds and Cardinals.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Reds have covered the run line each of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road games.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Cardinals’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Reds’ last five games as underdogs against the Cardinals have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Brady Singer’s last five road appearances as a starter.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of Kyle Leahy’s last seven appearances as a starter.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Lars Nootbaar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Lars Nootbaar has hit a home run in three of his last eight home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Jordan Walker ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.537) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Steer has hit a home run in each of his two previous road appearances against the Cardinals after not playing the previous day.
- Brady Singer has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 13 Friday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 19 games as underdogs.
- Sal Stewart is one of only five players to record 10+ Home Runs and 10+ Stolen Bases this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cardinals rank 27th in the league for strikeouts this season (465).
- The Cardinals rank 26th in the league for doubles this season (84).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (468).
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (573).
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction
St. Louis comes into this matchup after losing a series to the Rangers, but they have scored 4+ runs in three of their last four games. The Cardinals are 16-16 at home this year, while the Reds are 15-14 on the road. Cincinnati has alternated wins and losses over their last five games, but they have allowed 5+ runs in three of those five. The Reds are starting Singer, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in five straight starts, while Leahy has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five outings. Take the Cardinals at home here.