Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 9-28-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 28th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 82-78 this year and they have alternated wins and losses over their last seven games. Chicago won the first game in this series by a score of 1-0 in Friday afternoon. Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Phillies, won three out of four against the Nationals, and lost two out of three against the Athletics. Chicago is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are second in the NL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 733 runs with a .243 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Cody Bellinger is batting .265 with 18 home runs and 78 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 76-84 this season and they have lost four games in a row. Cincinnati lost game one in this series and they failed to score any runs in the game. Prior to this series, the Reds lost both games against the Guardians, won two out of three against the Pirates, and lost two out of three against the Braves. Cincinnati is 2-6 in their last eight games and they are fourth in the NL Central. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 696 runs with a .232 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .261 with 25 home runs and 74 RBI’s for the Reds this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Kyle Hendricks, who is 4-12 with a 6.28 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP over 123.1 innings pitched this year. Hendricks has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Rhett Lowder, who is 2-2 with a 1.40 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 25.2 innings pitched this season. Lowder has allowed a total of three earned runs in his last four starts (21.2 IP). 

Why the Reds will beat the Cubs

• The Cubs have lost each of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Reds have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Cubs following a loss.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Reds have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last seven road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Cubs’ last five day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last seven road games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Reds and Cubs at Wrigley Field.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Dansby Swanson has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Nico Hoerner has scored at least one run in seven of the Cubs’ last eight home games against the Reds.
• Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last nine games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cubs’ last nine games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Nico Hoerner has recorded a Double in each of the Cubs’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with the Cubs as favorites against the Reds.
• Kyle Hendricks has recorded four or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances with the Cubs as favorites against the Reds.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against the Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last six games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded a Double in three of the Reds’ last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Reds’ last eight road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Reds’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Jeimer Candelario has recorded an RBI in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Spencer Steer has hit a home run in two of the Reds’ last three games at Wrigley Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• Tyler Stephenson has scored a run in five of his last six road appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 

Chicago comes into this game after a great pitching performance on Friday to get the win in game one. The Cubs are 43-36 at home this season, while the Reds are 37-42 on the road. Chicago has played well at home all season long, but they will have Kyle Hendricks on the mound, who has not had a very good season. Cincinnati is starting Rhett Lowder, who has been very good over his last five starts. I know Hendricks has pitched better in recent outings, but I don’t trust him at all and I like what I have seen from Lowder. Take the Reds here.