In this article, we will formulate a Chicago Cubs vs NY Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 6th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 72-68 this year and they have won seven of their last nine games. Chicago is coming off of a series loss against Pittsburgh, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Cubs swept the Nationals, swept the Pirates, and won two out of three against the Marlins. Chicago is 10-3 in their last 13 games and they are second in the NL Central.
The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 641 runs with a .241 batting average and a .317 on-base percentage. Seiya Suzuki is batting .277 with 19 home runs and 64 RBI’s for the Cubs this season.
NY Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 80-60 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. New York is coming off of a series loss against Texas, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Cardinals, lost two out of three against the Nationals, and won two out of three against the Rockies. New York is 4-7 in their last 11 games and they are second in the AL East.
The New York pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Yankees’ offense has scored 714 runs with a .252 batting average and a .335 on-base percentage. Aaron Judge is batting .323 with 51 home runs and 124 RBI’s for the Yankees this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Jordan Wicks, who is 2-2 with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 33.0 innings pitched this year. Wicks has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Luis Gil, who is 12-6 with a 3.39 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 124.2 innings pitched this season. Gil has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts but hasn’t pitched in a few weeks due to injury.
Why the Cubs will beat the Yankees
- The underdogs have won each of the Yankees’ last five games at Wrigley Field.
- The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight-day games against NL Central opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Yankees’ last five games at Wrigley Field.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Yankees’ last six games has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Cubs’ last 11-day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four-day games between the Yankees and Cubs.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Cody Bellinger has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Cubs as home underdogs against AL opponents.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded a Double in four of the Cubs’ last five games against AL East opponents.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Cubs as underdogs.
- Nico Hoerner has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances with the Cubs as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded a Single in each of his last 10 appearances with the Cubs as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Cubs’ last nine games.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances with the Cubs as underdogs.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Anthony Volpe has recorded a Double in four of the Yankees’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Jazz Chisholm has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Anthony Rizzo has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances against former teams.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Chicago Cubs rank T6th in the league for steals this season (128).
- The Chicago Cubs rank 6th in the league for walks this season (470).
- The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (213).
- The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (569).
Chicago Cubs vs NY Yankees Prediction
New York comes into this game really struggling recently and the Orioles have passed them in the AL East. The Yankees are only a half-game behind Baltimore, but with only a few weeks left in the season, each series is very important. New York is 43-29 on the road, while Chicago is 37-31 at home this year.
The Cubs have played pretty well over the last two weeks and they are above .500 at home, but I don’t love Wicks as a starting pitcher. The Yankees are expected to activate Gil from the IL for this game, but he has had a very up-and-down season. I don’t love the pitching matchup, but I am going to side with the Cubs at home, as the Yankees are in a rough stretch right now.