In this article we will formulate a Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 12th at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
White Sox Struggling to String Wins Together
The Chicago White Sox are 27-68 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Chicago is coming off of a series loss against Minnesota, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the White Sox lost two out of three against the Marlins, lost two out of three against the Guardians, and won two out of three against the Rockies. Chicago is 3-7 in their last ten games and they are last in the AL Central.
The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.53 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 306 runs with a .220 batting average and a .282 on base percentage. Andrew Vaughn is batting .240 with 11 home runs and 43 RBI’s for the White Sox this season. Chicago has allowed at least five runs in five of their last ten games.
Pirates Picking Up Steam
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 45-48 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Pittsburgh is coming off of a series win against Milwaukee, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Pirates split four games with the Mets, lost two out of three against the Cardinals, and lost two out of three against the Braves. Pittsburgh is 6-5 in their last 11 games and they are third in the NL Central.
The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 383 runs with a .229 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .277 with 17 home runs and 56 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. Pittsburgh has allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last seven games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Garrett Crochet, who is 6-6 with a 3.08 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 105.1 innings pitched this year. Crochet has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Marco Gonzales, who is 0-0 with a 2.65 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 17.0 innings pitched this year. Gonzales has been on the IL for most of the season and has not pitched in the majors since early April.
Why the White Sox will beat the Pirates
- The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight road games following a road win.
- The White Sox have won each of their last four home games against the Pirates.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games at Guaranteed Rate Field.
- The White Sox have covered the run line each of their last four games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the White Sox’s last five night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last five games at Guaranteed Rate Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three night games between the Pirates and White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field.
Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts
- Luis Robert has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Martin Maldonado has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances.
- Tommy Pham has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight Friday appearances.
- Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Nicky Lopez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Luis Robert has recorded a Double in each of the White Sox’s last three home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has scored a run in each of the Pirates’ last four games against AL opponents.
- Bryan Reynolds has hit at least one home run in three of the Pirates’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last seven road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of the Pirates’ last 11 road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded an RBI in each of the Pirates’ last four games against AL opponents.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 11 road games against opponents that held a losing record.
Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Pittsburgh comes into this series after a nice series win over Milwaukee and they got another great outing from Skenes on Thursday afternoon. The Pirates are 23-24 on the road this season, while the White Sox are 17-31 at home. Chicago is 31.5 games behind Cleveland in the AL Central and they are one of the worst teams in baseball, but they will have Crochet on the mound, who has been their lone bright spot. Pittsburgh hasn’t officially announced a starter for this game, but it sounds like it could be Gonzales, who pitched very well to start the season before getting hurt. Crochet has been very solid for the White Sox this season and I am going to take a shot with him against a below average Pirates offense. My Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction is for the White Sox to win.