In this article we will formulate a Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 17th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 73-78 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Cincinnati is coming off of a series win against Minnesota, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Cardinals, won a makeup game against the Braves, and lost two out of three against the Mets. Cincinnati is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are fourth in the NL Central.
The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Reds’ offense has scored 668 runs with a .233 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .257 with 24 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Reds this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 81-69 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. Atlanta is coming off of a series split with the Dodgers, where they won two games and lost two games. Prior to that series, the Braves split two games with the Nationals, lost a makeup game with the Reds, and won two out of three against the Blue Jays. Atlanta is 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are third in the NL East.
The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.55 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 641 runs with a .240 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .302 with 37 home runs and 98 RBI’s for the Braves this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Brandon Williamson, who is 0-0 with a 2.08 ERA and a 0.77 WHIP over 13.0 innings pitched this season. Williamson has allowed one earned run in three straight outings. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Grant Holmes, who is 2-1 with a 3.79 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 54.2 innings pitched this year. Holmes has allowed three earned runs in his last 3.0 innings of work and should only pitch an inning or two here.
Why the Reds will beat the Braves
- The Braves have lost each of their last six games against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The Reds have won each of their last four games at Great American Ball Park.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games against the Braves.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Reds following a home loss.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against the Braves.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last six games against National League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Braves’ last five games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last seven road games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last six games against National League opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Steer has recorded a Double in each of the Reds’ last three night games.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five home appearances against NL East opponents.
- TJ Friedl has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against the Braves.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one total base in 13 of his last 14 appearances against NL opponents at Great American Ball Park.
- Will Benson has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Ty France has recorded an RBI in each of the Reds’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Fraley has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last six games against NL opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Travis d’Arnaud has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last nine road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against the Reds.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves’ last 12 road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in each of the Braves’ last three road games against the Reds.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 12 road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
Atlanta comes into this matchup trailing the Mets by one game in the race for the last NL Wild Card spot and with only a couple of weeks left in the season, every game is very important. The Braves are 39-36 on the road this year, while the Reds are 36-39 at home. Cincinnati has played decently well over the last two weeks and Williamson has pitched very well in his three outings. I expect Williamson to go deeper into this game and with the Braves offense being inconsistent, I like the Reds to get the win here.