In this article, we will formulate a Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, September 19th at Great American Ball Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 74-79 this season and they have lost two of their last three games. Cincinnati won game one in this series by a score of 6-5 but did lose on Wednesday. Prior to this series, the Reds won two out of three against the Twins, lost two out of three against the Cardinals, and won a makeup game against the Braves. Cincinnati is 6-4 in their last ten games and they are fourth in the NL Central.
The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Reds’ offense has scored 675 runs with a .233 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .257 with 24 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Reds this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 82-70 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Atlanta was able to stop their small losing streak with a 7-1 win on Wednesday night. Prior to this series, the Braves split four games with the Dodgers, split two games with the Nationals, and lost a makeup game with the Reds. Atlanta is 4-5 in their last nine games and they are third in the NL East.
The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.54 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 653 runs with a .241 batting average and a .307 on-base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .306 with 38 home runs and 100 RBI’s for the Braves this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Julian Aguiar, who is 2-0 with a 4.88 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 27.2 innings pitched this season. Aguiar has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but three of his last four have gone 4.2 or fewer innings. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Chris Sale, who is 17-3 with a 2.35 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 172.2 innings pitched this year. Sale has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight starts.
Why the Braves will beat the Reds
- The road team has won six of the last seven games between the Braves and Reds.
- The Reds have lost nine of their last 11-day games at Great American Ball Park following a loss.
- The road team has covered the run line in four of the last five games between the Braves and Reds.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11-day games at Great American Ball Park following a home loss.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games at Great American Ball Park against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Reds’ last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Braves’ last four-day games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last five-day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five-day games at Great American Ball Park.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Steer has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Reds’ last four games against the Braves at Great American Ball Park.
- Elly De La Cruz has scored a run in each of the Reds’ last four home games against NL East opponents.
- Ty France has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Reds’ last five home games against NL East opponents.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 16 appearances in day games.
- Jeimer Candelario has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against NL East opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in four of the Braves’ last five road games against the Reds.
- Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his seven previous road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Travis d’Arnaud has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Braves as road favorites.
- Gio Urshela has recorded a Double in each of the Braves’ last three games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances with the Braves as road favorites against the Reds.
- Ramon Laureano has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves’ last eight games as road favorites.
- Chris Sale has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 14 road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
Atlanta was able to pick up an easy win on Wednesday in game two of this series, but they need to get as many wins as they can, as they are currently not in the playoffs. The Braves are 40-37 on the road, while the Reds are 37-40 at home. Atlanta does have one of the best pitching staffs in the MLB and they will be starting Chris Sale, who has been one of the top pitchers in the MLB this season. Atlanta is 7-0 in Sale’s last seven starts and 11-2 in his last 13, so I am going to take the Braves on the run line in this game.