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Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 7-10-24 Picks

Colorado Rockies (32-60) vs. Cincinnati Reds (44-48)
July 10, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -179 / Colorado Rockies +151; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 10th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Reds Offense Tries to Stay Hot 

The Cincinnati Reds are 44-48 this year and they have won five of their last eight games. Cincinnati has won the first two games in this series by scores of 6-0 and 12-6. Prior to this series, the Reds lost all three against the Tigers, swept the Yankees in three games, and split four games with the Cardinals. Cincinnati is 7-5 in their last 12 games and they are fourth in the NL Central. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 400 runs with a .227 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Spencer Steer is batting .242 with 14 home runs and 59 RBI’s for the Reds this season. Cincinnati has scored at least five runs in four of their last eight games. 

Rockies Pitching Staff is Struggling 

The Colorado Rockies are 32-60 this season and they have lost three games in a row. Colorado has dropped the first two games in this series and they have allowed 18 runs in the two games. Prior to this series, the Rockies won two out of three against the Royals, split four games with the Brewers, and lost two out of three against the White Sox. Colorado is 3-5 in their last eight games and they are last in the NL West. 

The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.55 ERA, a 1.54 WHIP, and a .289 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 379 runs with a .244 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .274 with 14 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Rockies this season. Colorado has allowed 28 runs in their last three games and they have the worst team ERA in the MLB this year. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Kyle Freeland, who is 0-3 with a 6.62 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP over 35.1 innings pitched this year. Freeland has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts and has been great since coming off of the IL. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Frankie Montas, who is 4-6 with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 77.1 innings pitched this year. Montas has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. 

Why the Reds will beat the Rockies

  • The Reds have won each of their last eight games against the Rockies.
  • The Rockies have lost each of their last 12 Wednesday night road games against National League opponents.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against NL West opponents.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Reds following a loss.
  • The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against the Rockies.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the Rockies’ last seven night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Three of the Reds’ last four home games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last 11 games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last six road games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Spencer Steer has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four games as favorites.
  • Santiago Espinal has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Frankie Montas has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
  • Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Jake Fraley has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight appearances with the Reds as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against the Rockies after playing the previous day.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Elias Diaz has hit a home run in each of his last three Wednesday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
  • Brendan Rodgers has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
  • Elias Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight Wednesday appearances.
  • Kyle Freeland has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rockies’ last six games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Charlie Blackmon has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Jacob Stallings has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last three appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Kris Bryant has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances at Great American Ball Park.

Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 

Cincinnati comes into this game after scoring 18 runs in the first two games of this series and they will look to make it three wins in a row here. The Reds are 22-26 at home this year, while Colorado is just 12-33 on the road. Colorado has been awful on the road this season and their pitching staff has been a disaster, but they will have Kyle Freeland on the mound, who has been very good since coming off of the IL. Cincinnati is starting Montas, who has also been solid in his last three starts. Freeland has looked very good recently, but I will not take this Colorado team away from home. My Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies prediction is for the Reds to win by at least two runs. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Reds -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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