The Philadelphia Phillies and the Cincinnati Reds meet Tuesday in MLB action from Great American Ballpark. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted. Cincinnati will start Andrew Abbott here and Abbott is 5-4 with a 3.88 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to bounce back from a 15-1 loss at the hands of the Kansas City Royals last time out to sit at 50-41 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the Detroit Tigers.
Phillies Lose 3 Of Last 4
Adolis Garcia has 45 hits with 8 doubles, 7 home runs and 21 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 82 hits with 9 doubles, 30 home runs and 55 RBIs. Brandon Marsh has 98 hits with 15 doubles, 15 home runs and 46 RBIs while Justin Crawford also has 65 hits with 12 doubles, 2 triples, 2 home runs and 19 RBIs. Trea Turner has 89 hits with 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 31 RBIs and Bryce Harper’s added 86 hits with 16 doubles, 20 home runs and 57 RBIs this season.
Cincinnati Reds Recap
The Cincinnati Reds will be out to add on to their win over the Orioles last time out by a final score of 3-2 last time out to improve to 41-48 this season. After this series, the Reds will take on the Chicago Cubs in a series at home.
Reds Snap Two-Game Slide
Elly De La Cruz has 76 hits with 14 doubles, 2 triples, 13 home runs and 41 RBIs while Sal Stewart has 86 hits with 21 doubles, 17 home runs and 61 RBIs. Spencer Steer has 70 hits with 12 doubles, 14 home runs and 36 RBIs and Matt McLain has 51 hits with 13 doubles, 8 home runs and 25 RBIs. JJ Bleday’s added 51 hits with 11 doubles, 13 home runs and 37 RBIs as well on the year.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends: July 7, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Abbott Record this season: 5-4 ERA: 3.88
- Home Record: 2-2
- Last 5 against Phillies: 1-1
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The underdogs have won five of the last six games between the Phillies and Reds.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Phillies and Reds.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against NL East opponents.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against the Phillies.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler Record this season: 8-1 ERA: 2.36
- Road Record: 4-1
- Last 5 against Reds: 2-2
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last nine games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Reds have lost eight of their last nine home games following a win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games following a road loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games following a home win.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last four night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five road games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Reds’ last six night games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of Zack Wheeler’s last nine road appearances as a starter.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Nathaniel Lowe has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Phillies.
- Andrew Abbott has recorded six strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Trea Turner has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games against NL opponents.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against the Reds.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (30) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (679).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.228).
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (877).
- The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction
I’m leaning towards the Phillies here. I just think that this could be a tough one for Andrew Abbott. The Phillies didn’t look great against a lefty in Noah Cameron on Monday, but the hitter-friendly nature of Great American Ballpark gives me the thought that the Phillies can get through here and get the win so I’ll back Philadelphia here.