The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Cincinnati Reds meet Monday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pirates just finished up a weekend set versus the Tampa Bay Rays. Pittsburgh lost 10-3 in the opener of that series then took a 4-3 win in game two. In the rubber match on Sunday, the Pirates took a 3-1 loss. Starter Paul Skenes had a good outing with 7.0 innings and one earned on seven hits and a walk with eight Ks.
As starter for Monday’s matchup, the Pirates are going with Bailey Falter. This year Falter is 3-5 with a 3.74 ERA in 14 starts. In his career Falter is 13-19 with a 4.47 ERA in 74 games (45 starts).
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
Over on the Reds’ side, they played the Boston Red Sox over the weekend. The Reds similarly split the first two games 5-2 (win) and 4-3 (loss). On Sunday Cincinnati took a 7-4 loss. Nick Lodolo put up 4.2 innings in the start with three earned on five hits and four walks.
In the starter role for the Monday game the Reds will go with Carson Spiers. This year Spiers is 0-1 with a 3.20 ERA in six games (one start). Spiers is 0-2 with a 4.46 career ERA in 10 games (three starts).
Pirates vs Reds Pick Injury Notes
Pirates SP Marco Gonzales (forearm) will throw live batting practice at Double-A Altoona on Wednesday. RP Ryan Borucki (wrist) will begin a rehab assignment on Tuesday.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last eight games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Reds’ last 11 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last six road games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last three night games at Great American Ball Park.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last four games against the Pirates at Great American Ball Park.
- TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last four home games against the Pirates.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances with the Reds as favorites.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 17 appearances with the Reds as favorites.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against the Pirates.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one Single in each of the Reds’ last four night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- TJ Friedl has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last four home games against the Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 20 games.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of the Pirates’ last 20 games.
- Bryan Reynolds has scored a run in eight of the Pirates’ last nine games.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Double in each of the Pirates’ last three night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Single in each of the Pirates’ last four road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in three of the Pirates’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded an RBI in each of the Pirates’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
I’ll lean toward the Reds here but I’m probably not touching it. Spiers had a rough time out in his last appearance, giving up four earned in 6.0 innings versus the Pirates. Prior to that however, Spiers had just one earned in 9.0 innings over two outings.
On Sunday the Reds fell behind 4-0 and eventually 7-1, but did make a valiant attempt at a comeback. Cincinnati’s issues were on the mound for the most part. That said, if Spiers can notch a quality start the Reds should be fine.