In this article, we will formulate a Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 12th, at the Great American Ballpark.
Cardinals Have Fallen Off
The Cardinals have fallen off again and to climb back into it, they are going to need a sweep here. The Cardinals on Saturday scored three runs against the Kansas City Royals, and they ended up losing by five. Paul Goldschmidt hit a home run and drove in two RBIs, but it wasn’t enough as the pitching struggled. The Cardinals are averaging 4.17 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.58 runs per game.
The offense is ranked 22nd in the league, while the pitching is ranked 21st. Getting the start for the Cardinals will be Sonny Gray, who sits with an 11-6 record and an ERA of 3.65. In his last start against the Tampa Bay Rays he went seven innings giving up four hits and two runs.
Reds Look for Second Straight Win
The Reds were able to pick up a win over the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday, and it was the pitching that stepped up. The offense scored only four runs, but the pitching gave up three runs. Tyler Stephenson finished with two hits and he hit a home run. The Reds are averaging 4.44 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.1 runs per game.
The offense is ranked 14th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 7th. They have a batting average of .230 which is 27th in the league. Spencer Steer has hit 16 home runs and driven in 69 RBIs so far this season. Andrew Abbott gets the start for the Reds, and he sits with a 9-9 record and an ERA of 3.70. In his last start against the Miami Marlins he went five innings giving up six hits and six runs.
Why the Reds Will Beat the Cardinals
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have won nine of their last 10 Monday games as home underdogs.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Reds have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in six of their last nine games as home underdogs.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in five of their last seven games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
This game is going to come down to whether Abbott can bounce back. In his last start, he gave up six runs, but he still has an ERA of 3.70. Gray, in his last start, gave up two runs in seven innings, and he’s going to be strong again here. I do expect Abbott to be good, and this game is going to be lower-scoring. Only four or five runs total will be scored, and the under is going to cash.