Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 8-13-24 MLB Picks
St. Louis Cardinals (60-59) vs. Cincinnati Reds (58-61)
August 13, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -135 / St. Louis Cardinals +115; Over/Under: +8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 13th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 58-61 this year and they have won two games in a row. Cincinnati won the first game in this series by a score of 6-1 on Monday. Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Brewers, won three out four against the Marlins, and lost two out of three against the Giants. Cincinnati is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are fourth in the NL Central.
The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 530 runs with a .230 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .266 with 21 home runs and 51 RBI’s for the Reds this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 60-59 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. St. Louis dropped the first game in this series and they only managed one run in the loss. Prior to this series, the Cardinals split two games with the Royals, won two out of three against the Rays, and lost a makeup game against the Mets. St. Louis is 3-5 in their last eight games and they are second in the NL Central.
The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 493 runs with a .246 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Paul Goldschmidt is batting .235 with 18 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Hunter Greene, who is 8-4 with a 2.90 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 136.1 innings pitched this year. Greene has allowed a total of three earned runs in his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Erick Fedde, who is 8-5 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 131.2 innings pitched this season. Fedde has allowed six earned runs and 10 hits over two starts since coming over from the White Sox.
Why the Reds will beat the Cardinals
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last five night games against National League opponents.
- The Reds have won each of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last nine games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Cardinals’ last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last five home games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last three games at Great American Ball Park.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Hunter Greene has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last four games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Hunter Greene has recorded eight or more strikeouts in six of his last seven home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in seven of the Reds’ last eight games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz has hit at least one home run in three of the Reds’ last four home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Reds as favorites.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances with the Reds as favorites.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Reds as favorites.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in each of his last four appearances against the Cardinals.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Crawford has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Reds.
- Erick Fedde has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against NL opponents.
- Masyn Winn has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
- Alec Burleson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Cardinals as road underdogs.
- Masyn Winn has hit a home run in three of the Cardinals’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Alec Burleson has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances with the Cardinals as road underdogs.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded a Double in three of the Cardinals’ last four night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Alec Burleson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Cardinals as road underdogs.
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
Cincinnati was able to pickup the 6-1 win in game one of this series on Monday and they are only a couple of games behind the Cardinals in the NL Central. The Reds are 29-31 at home this year, while St. Louis is 29-32 on the road. St. Louis has dropped five of their last eight games and their pitching staff has allowed quite a few runs in their last four. The Cardinals are starting Fedde, who has been decent this season, but I think Hunter Greene is the better option. Greene has been elite over the last two weeks and I think he will continue to roll here. My Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction is for the Reds to win again.