Cincinnati Reds (73-71) vs St. Louis Cardinals (63-79)
2023-09-10 13:40:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -120 / St. Louis Cardinals +100 --- Over/Under: 10
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The St. Louis Cardinals and the Cincinnati Reds meet in the finale of their three-game NL Central division series in MLB action from Great American Ballpark on Sunday.
Cardinals Pushing For Sweep
The St. Louis Cardinals come into this game looking to complete the three-game sweep after taking out Cincinnati in the first two games of this series following a 4-3 win over the Reds on Saturday. The win pushed St. Louis to 63-79 on the year, still 11.5 games back in the NL Wild Card chase. Nolan Arenado leads the Cardinals with 27 home runs, 88 RBIs and a .272 batting average while Paul Goldschmidt has a team-high 147 hits, a .273 batting average and 26 doubles this season. Tommy Edman also has a team-high 4 triples and Willson Contreras also has 26 doubles this season. Miles Mikolas will start here and is 7-10 with a 4.63 ERA and 114 strikeouts this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Team Facts
– The Cardinals have lost each of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents following a win.
– The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against the Reds following a win.
– The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
– The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
– The Cardinals have led after 7 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
– Willson Contreras has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
– Lars Nootbaar has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Cardinals’ last seven road games against the Reds.
– Tommy Edman has scored at least one run in each of the Cardinals’ last six games as road underdogs against the Reds.
– Miles Mikolas has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
– Tommy Edman has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
– Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Reds.
Reds Trying To Salvage Win
The Cincinnati Reds could really use a win to close out the series and take something from this three-game set after falling to 73-71 on the year following Saturday’s loss, sitting 2.5 games back in the NL Wild Card race and 7.5 games back in the NL Central race. Spencer Steer leads the Reds with 20 home runs, 77 RBIs and 138 hits while Matt McLain has 16 home runs and Jake Fraley is right behind with 15 home runs this season. Steer also has a team-high 31 doubles while TJ Friedl has a .268 batting average and 24 stolen bases. Elly De La Cruz has 26 stolen bases this season. Hunter Greene will start for the Reds here and is 3-6 with a 4.75 ERA and 114 strikeouts this season.
Cincinnati Reds Team Facts
– The Reds have lost each of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
– The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
– The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
– The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last six games.
– The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
– Spencer Steer has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two day games.
– Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Reds’ last five games against the Cardinals.
– Spencer Steer has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Reds’ last three day games.
– Hunter Greene has recorded eight or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL Central opponents.
– Spencer Steer has scored at least one run in five of the Reds’ last six home games against the Cardinals.
– Jake Fraley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with the Reds as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
– The Cincinnati Reds ranks 1st in the league for steals this season (166).
– The Cincinnati Reds ranks 3rd in the league for triples this season (30).
– The St. Louis Cardinals ranks 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.275).
– The St. Louis Cardinals ranks 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (151).
Chris’ Pick
I’m sticking with the Reds here. I just still have no faith in the Cardinals despite St. Louis winning the first two games of this series, and I have a hard time jumping on teams like St. Louis because I just don’t know how committed they are to the spoiler role. Cincinnati’s had playoff hopes all year long and I don’t think they want to let those get away and I’m just not a Miles Mikolas fan. I think Cincinnati salvages a win here, so give me the Reds.
