In this article we will formulate a Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 5th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Guardians Trying to Hold Off Twins
The Cleveland Guardians are 67-44 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. Cleveland is coming off of a series split with Baltimore, where they won two games and lost two games. Prior to that series, the Guardians won both games against the Tigers, won two out of three against the Phillies, and split four games with the Tigers. Cleveland is 8-4 in their last 12 games and they are leading the AL Central by 4.5 games over the Twins.
The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 518 runs with a .242 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .277 with 29 home runs and 93 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland has scored at least five runs in five of their last six games.
Diamondbacks are Red Hot
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 60-52 this year and they have won five of their last six games. Arizona is coming off of a series win against Pittsburgh, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Diamondbacks swept the Nationals in three games, won two out of three against the Pirates, and won two out of three against the Royals. Arizona is 9-2 in their last 11 games and they are third in the NL West.
The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .261 opponent batting average. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 575 runs with a .258 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Ketel Marte is batting .300 with 27 home runs and 77 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks this season. Arizona has scored at least five runs in seven of their last eight games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 8-4 with a 5.67 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP over 87.1 innings pitched this year. Allen has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Zac Gallen, who is 9-5 with a 3.56 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 87.1 innings pitched this season. Gallen has allowed one earned run or fewer in two of his last three starts.
Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Guardians
- The Diamondbacks have won nine of their last 10 night games following a win.
- The Guardians have lost three of their last four home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents following a win.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Guardians’ last nine night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Diamondbacks’ last six games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last four home games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last five Monday night games against American League opponents.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has hit at least one home run in three of the Guardians’ last four night games.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded an RBI in each of the Guardians’ last five games against the Diamondbacks.
- Josh Naylor has recorded two or more total bases in six of his last seven appearances.
- Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians’ last seven games.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Guardians as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.
- Steven Kwan ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.333) this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one Double in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ketel Marte has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games against AL Central opponents.
- Zac Gallen has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Diamondbacks as favorites.
- Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last 10 games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Ketel Marte has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Diamondbacks’ last nine night games.
- Zac Gallen has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his five previous road appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Corbin Carroll has recorded a hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games as favorites.
- Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one total base in each of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games as favorites.
- Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one Single in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six night games.
- Ketel Marte ranks 9th in the league in Home Runs (27) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cleveland Guardians rank 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (857).
- The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (433).
- The Arizona Diamondbacks rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (28).
- The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (835).
Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Arizona comes into this series playing some very strong baseball right now and they are making noise in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 29-27 on the road, while the Guardians are 35-17 at home. Cleveland is leading the AL Central standings and they have been fantastic at home all season, but they are starting Logan Allen, who has an elevated WHIP. Arizona is going with Zac Gallen, who has been shaky at times this season, but has been pretty strong in his last four road starts. My Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction is for Arizona to get the win.